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EpochAI News
Prediction markets for EpochAI
Prediction markets for EpochAI
Which of FrontierMath and Humanity's Last Exam will be saturated (>80%) first?
Jan 24, 4:34 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
56
23312
Option
Probability
FrontierMath
Humanity's Last Exam
70
30
Will OpenAI announce a new model that EpochAI estimates is at least as large as GPT-4.5, before August 2026?
Aug 9, 11:38 PM
Aug 1, 11:37 PM
39.48%
chance
19
2181
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1238
808
'Breakthrough' Frontier Math Open Problem solved before 2028
Mar 11, 2:12 AM
Jan 7, 11:59 PM
57%
chance
9
157
Option
Votes
NO
YES
115
87
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