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Prediction markets for EpochAI
Prediction markets for EpochAI
Which of FrontierMath and Humanity's Last Exam will be saturated (>80%) first?
Jan 24, 4:34 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50
21957
Option
Probability
FrontierMath
Humanity's Last Exam
55
45
Will OpenAI announce a new model that EpochAI estimates is at least as large as GPT-4.5, before August 2026?
Aug 9, 11:38 PM
Aug 1, 11:37 PM
43.49%
chance
17
1982
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1140
877
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