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Prediction markets for Equalizer

Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026?

Sep 21, 6:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3314879

OptionProbability

S&P500 ≥ 6000

S&P500 ≥ 6500

S&P500 ≥ 7000

S&P500 ≥ 7500

S&P500 ≥ 8000

S&P500 ≥ 8500

S&P500 ≥ 9000

91

81

66

49

30

17

9

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?

Mar 4, 6:42 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

33.07%chance

5810769

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11052

10904

Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?

Oct 23, 10:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.02%chance

414070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1589

631

Will 1+1 still be equal to 2 on Dec. 31, 9999?

Jun 20, 4:27 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

97.72%chance

162900

OptionVotes

NO

YES

898

236

Will the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028?

Jan 17, 7:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.45%chance

132531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1411

709

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15%chance

421203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

930

Does a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?

Aug 10, 1:30 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

24.9%chance

381115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

884

Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?

Nov 24, 12:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.22%chance

27922

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1346

871

Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.01%chance

17902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

666

Will Poland equalize retirement age for men and women by 2050?

May 9, 9:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.18%chance

7426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

87

Will Messi have more than or equal to G/A than Ronaldo in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Jun 4, 4:47 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

91.64%chance

8268

OptionVotes

NO

YES

331

30

Will there be male birth control equal or better than the IUD by end of 2028?

Oct 28, 6:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.97%chance

3100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

61

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