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Equalizer News

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?

Mar 4, 6:42 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

33.07%chance

5810769

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11052

10904

Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?

Oct 23, 10:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.33%chance

404056

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1575

668

Will 1+1 still be equal to 2 on Dec. 31, 9999?

Jun 20, 4:27 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

97.84%chance

152899

OptionVotes

NO

YES

942

235

Will the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028?

Jan 17, 7:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.45%chance

132531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1411

709

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.01%chance

411153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1265

930

Does a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?

Aug 10, 1:30 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

25.12%chance

371105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1247

887

Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?

Nov 24, 12:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.22%chance

27922

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1346

871

Will Polish parliament equalize the retirement age for men and women before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.01%chance

17902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

666

Will 2026 USAJMO Cutoffs for 10A+AIME I be less than or equal to 347.5?

Feb 6, 5:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59%chance

6524

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1200

834

This market resolves to PROB equals 10x the percentage of the US human population that declare being romantic involved with some AI in 2050.

Jan 25, 6:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.49%chance

9265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

216

100

In 10 years, will the lifespan of manga writers/artists be equal to that of the average Japanese male? (2024-2034)

Mar 21, 6:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.31%chance

665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

100

Will US median household income equal at least half of average home values by 2035?

Nov 18, 1:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.2%chance

244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

96

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