Equity News

If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?

If I accept the Genesis job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?

If I accept the Genesis job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?

If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?

If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?

If I accept the Genesis job, what will be my bonus in my first full year? (At a rate of 1 percentage point = $3000. So e.g. if it's $100k this answer resolves to 33%.)

If I accept the Genesis job, will my total earnings from it after 5 years be at least 1.5 million?

If I accept the Genesis job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?

If I accept the Penguin job, will my total earnings from it after 5 years (valuing unsold equity at whatever I think it's "really worth") be at least 1.5 million?

If I accept the Genesis job, will I end up leaving on bad terms?

If I accept the Penguin job, will I end up leaving on bad terms?

NO

Valuation futures / Pre-IPO

Equity or index perps

Non-AI prediction markets

Compute (eg H100 perps)

NO

YES

YES

Sennheiser family buyback

Other

Samsung (including Harman)

No buyer (Sonova winds down or retains)

Sony

Bose

Platinum Equity

KKR

iO

Second City

UCB

Give substantial equity to the US government

Call for a pause or slowdown of frontier model development

Merge with another company that is worth at least 100B

YES

YES

NO