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Prediction markets for ES

Will TSLA reach >$690 before 8pm EST 10/10 2025

Mar 26, 3:55 AMOct 10, 7:59 PM

3.87%chance

172935874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131980

7105

Others 2025 Rhodium primary supply estimate to exceed 7 koz

Aug 13, 12:38 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

40.07%chance

42711

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12229

8177

South African 2025 Rhodium supply estimate to exceed 561 koz?

Aug 13, 11:38 AMNov 1, 10:59 PM

44.98%chance

31061

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11061

9041

Zimbabwe 2025 Rhodium estimate to exceed 44 koz

Aug 13, 12:09 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

45.2%chance

21011

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11011

9082

Russian 2025 Rhodium supply estimate to exceed 60 koz?

Aug 13, 11:54 AMNov 1, 10:59 PM

45.2%chance

21011

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11011

9082

JM Revised 2025 Rhodium total secondary supply estimate (automotive recycling) to exceed 303 koz?

Aug 13, 12:53 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

45.2%chance

21011

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11011

9082

North American 2025 Rhodium estimate to exceed 19 koz

Aug 13, 12:19 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

45.2%chance

21011

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11011

9082

Will Heart Aerospace ES-30 make its first revenue flight (at least 100 km) before 2030?

Nov 15, 9:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10.28%chance

3215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

25

Which approach(es) will lead to a viable theory of quantum gravity?

Aug 3, 1:12 AMAug 3, 1:09 AM

2140

OptionProbability

Gravitational path integral of metric field

Gravitational path integral of gauge variables (e.g., spinfoam models)

Causal set

AdS/CFT

Canonical loop quantum gravity

Quantum geometrodynamics

Gravity is not subject quantum mechanics

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

Will Ford sell more new Mustang Mach Es (electrics) in 2025 than in 2024?

Feb 25, 12:16 AMJan 16, 7:59 AM

64.91%chance

498

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

74

Will Dar es Salaam, Tanzania have a Metro System before 2030?

Mar 20, 1:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

¿Es José Luis Ricón un marido trofeo?

Jun 30, 9:41 PM

00

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