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Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

2%chance

9083641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70000

1429

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

49.98%chance

218159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10346

9625

Before 2030, will we have AI that can play Minecraft, understand movies, etc. and not resist shutdown?

Dec 17, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

63%chance

487844

OptionVotes

NO

YES

942

937

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM

22.71%chance

294658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1084

945

Will Donald Trump ever take a GLP-1 agonist (eg Ozempic, Mounjaro, Wegovy, Zepbound, etc) for weight loss

Feb 7, 1:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57%chance

341957

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

928

Does any pathogen (virus, bacteria, prion, etc.) cause Alzheimer's disease?

Feb 9, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.17%chance

261917

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

916

Will there be an AI Companion app (friend, girlfriend, partner etc.) with 500 Million users before 2035? 🤖❤🧍‍♂️🤝💻

Apr 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

67.81%chance

351265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1083

932

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

61.29%chance

201226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1313

717

If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?

Aug 29, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.35%chance

61165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

911

Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027

Oct 17, 10:38 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

18.14%chance

18594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

917

Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)

Jan 29, 4:08 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

77.9%chance

12227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

960

Will "Empowerment, corrigibility, etc. are simple a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

May 13, 8:16 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.11%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1044

768

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