Allied Coordination by 2030: There is allied coordination between key countries in the AI hardware supply chain on HEM development and/or deployment by 2030, targeting hardware security for either tamper-evident or tamper-proof HEMs.
Commercially Available HEMs by 2030: Fully tamper-evident or tamper-proof AI hardware becomes commercially available before 2030
Location Verification for US Export Controls by 2028: The US enacts location verification requirements for exported chips before 2028 (enforcement may not begin until afterward)
US-China Treaty Verification by 2030: Both the US and China sign an AI development treaty (potentially non-binding) involving HEMs by 2030
EU Market Access Conditions by 2029: The EU adopts HEM requirements for EU market access before 2029