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Prediction markets for EU Inc

[Metaculus] Will any of the US, EU, UK, or China have enacted a universal basic income before 2030?

May 13, 4:17 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM

7.39%chance

111071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1914

858

Will any EU country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?

May 29, 8:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.59%chance

21591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

890

Will any EU country implement a universal basic income before 2030?

Apr 19, 8:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.53%chance

10183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

957

Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 500 kg in 6 months ending March 2027?

Mar 30, 8:40 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

36.17%chance

3171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 5000 kg in 6 months ending September 2026?

Mar 30, 8:40 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

36.17%chance

3171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 1500 kg in 6 months ending March 2027?

Mar 30, 8:40 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

30.77%chance

4168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 22000 kg in 6 months ending March 2027?

Mar 30, 8:40 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

25.32%chance

4165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

When will the first company be officially registered under the EU Inc. framework (28th Regime)?

Dec 16, 10:17 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

3160

OptionProbability

Proposal rejected/not introduced in EU parliament by 2028

2026

2025

2027

2028

25

20

18

18

18

Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 22000 kg in 6 months ending September 2026?

Mar 30, 8:39 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

27.26%chance

3155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

61

Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Eu2O3 output exceed 1500 kg in 6 months ending September 2026?

Mar 30, 8:39 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

27.26%chance

3155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

61

Will US vs EU GDP PPP increase in the following years?

May 5, 7:42 PMJan 1, 8:35 PM

270

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

3030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

76

66

66

66

66

66

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by Aug 2, 2026?

May 12, 10:15 AMAug 2, 10:00 PM

51.03%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

62

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