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Prediction markets for EU Inc

[Metaculus] Will any of the US, EU, UK, or China have enacted a universal basic income before 2030?

May 13, 4:17 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM

7.39%chance

111071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1914

858

Will any EU country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?

May 29, 8:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.59%chance

21591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

890

Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry

Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11%chance

8250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

35

Will any EU country implement a universal basic income before 2030?

Apr 19, 8:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.53%chance

10183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

957

When will the first company be officially registered under the EU Inc. framework (28th Regime)?

Dec 16, 10:17 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

3160

OptionProbability

Proposal rejected/not introduced in EU parliament by 2028

2026

2025

2027

2028

25

20

18

18

18

Will US vs EU GDP PPP increase in the following years?

May 5, 7:42 PMJan 1, 8:35 PM

270

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

3030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

76

66

66

66

66

66

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

Italy judicial reform: Will the EU Commission's 2027 Rule of Law Report include recommendations on this reform?

Mar 12, 8:03 PMDec 31, 1:00 AM

67.77%chance

345

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

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