European AI News
Prediction markets for European AI
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
37.47%chance
5511514
OptionVotes
1365
660
OptionVotes
188
53
Accountability: European Commission - Will the EC deliver on these goals and promises?
Jul 19, 1:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
41076
OptionProbability
100
100
63
61
61
59
57
54
53
50
45
41
41
Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?
Jul 29, 2:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.94%chance
15732
OptionVotes
239
42
Will Paris be the hub of AI in Europe by the end of 2027?
Oct 27, 2:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
36.62%chance
15547
OptionVotes
251
180
Will the United States and Iran sign a new official agreement by February 28, 2026?
Feb 2, 7:21 PMFeb 27, 11:59 PM
16.61%chance
14538
OptionVotes
398
123
Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?
Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM
32.89%chance
6421
OptionVotes
143
70
[Metaculus] Using AI tools as part of diagnostic process considered best practice in clinical psychology before 2029?
Oct 22, 8:52 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM
32.85%chance
12312
OptionVotes
207
108
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
63.06%chance
8279
OptionVotes
105
103
Will any European or American airline order the COMAC C919 before 2030?
Dec 15, 12:41 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
14.66%chance
7194
OptionVotes
259
53
Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?
Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30%chance
9166
OptionVotes
153
65
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
50.47%chance
3107
OptionVotes
1059
1041

