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Prediction markets for European AI Office
Prediction markets for European AI Office
FIFA President be sacked?
Jul 29, 6:42 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
15.56%
chance
18
959
Option
Votes
YES
NO
233
43
Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?
Mar 16, 9:32 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
54.01%
chance
17
380
Option
Votes
NO
YES
108
92
Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?
Feb 9, 3:17 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
31.85%
chance
7
141
Option
Votes
YES
NO
146
68
Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by October 1, 2026?
Aug 2, 10:22 AM
Oct 1, 11:00 PM
34.58%
chance
7
109
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
91
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