European Parliament News

Université libre de Bruxelles Names French-Palestinian Eurodeputy Rima Hassan, LFI Member, Godmother of Law Graduates Amid Political Criticism

5 months ago

Elon Musk Endorses Advance UK, Dismisses Farage as “Weak Sauce”

Britain

Politics

World

Elon Musk Endorses Advance UK, Dismisses Farage as “Weak Sauce”

5 months ago

Europe

Tariffs

Economics

EU Moves to Scrap Tariffs on US Industrial Goods, Aiming to Unlock Lower Auto Duties

5 months ago

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Jan 29, 6:49 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

3.45%chance

5640914

OptionVotes

YES

5294

189

Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?

Sep 13, 9:37 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

92.84%chance

322779

OptionVotes

YES

2894

680

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

30.67%chance

122156

OptionVotes

YES

1504

665

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

2969

337

Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

May 20, 8:13 AMMar 19, 11:59 PM

13.04%chance

14975

OptionVotes

YES

258

Ukraine holds elections in 2026?

Dec 29, 8:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.66%chance

6332

OptionVotes

YES

144

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Jan 18, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.25%chance

9286

OptionVotes

YES

268

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

105

103

What will happen after President Zelensky signs bill №12414 into law?

Jul 23, 3:49 AMDec 31, 10:33 PM

8277

OptionProbability

An anti-corruption protest with at least 10,000 attendees will take place in a Ukrainian city in July 2025

The law will be repealed or annulled in full by the end of 2025

Ukraine will receive a lower score in the 2026 edition of the Corruption Perceptions Index than in the 2024 edition

The European Commission will issue a formal statement expressing opposition to the law in July 2025

Donald Trump will describe Volodymyr Zelensky as "corrupt" in July 2025

Volodymyr Zelensky's trust rating will fall below 50% in a poll published by KIIS, Rating or Razumkov in 2025

The Ukrainian parliament's trust rating will fall below 10% in a poll published by Razumkov in 2025

The New York Times will publish an editorial criticising Volodymyr Zelensky by the end of August 2025

100

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.72%chance

5164

OptionVotes

YES

179

Will any country use a new voting system for the 2029 EU election?

Jan 25, 7:56 PMMay 1, 9:59 PM

49.76%chance

7107

OptionVotes

YES

163

133

Will the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?

Jun 12, 5:14 PMDec 31, 6:12 PM

59.02%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

120

European Parliament News

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Prediction markets for European Parliament

Prediction markets for European Parliament

Prediction markets for European Parliament

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

Ukraine holds elections in 2026?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

What will happen after President Zelensky signs bill №12414 into law?

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Will any country use a new voting system for the 2029 EU election?

Will the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?

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