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Top stories

Université libre de Bruxelles Names French-Palestinian Eurodeputy Rima Hassan, LFI Member, Godmother of Law Graduates Amid Political Criticism

Université libre de Bruxelles Names French-Palestinian Eurodeputy Rima Hassan, LFI Member, Godmother of Law Graduates Amid Political Criticism

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Prediction markets for European Parliament

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

Jan 29, 6:49 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

3.45%chance

5640914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5294

189

Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?

Sep 13, 9:37 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

92.84%chance

322779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2894

680

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

30.67%chance

122156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

665

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

10.19%chance

52021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2969

337

Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?

May 13, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.95%chance

191132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1608

914

Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

May 20, 8:13 AMMar 19, 11:59 PM

9.23%chance

11643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

314

32

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

9166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will Finland legalize euthanasia by 2030?

Mar 5, 12:56 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

45.9%chance

11164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

171

Will any country use a new voting system for the 2029 EU election?

Jan 25, 7:56 PMMay 1, 9:59 PM

49.76%chance

7107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

133

Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?

Apr 7, 9:47 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

66.34%chance

687

OptionVotes

NO

YES

235

140

Will the new EU omnibus be passed by the European Parliament?

Jun 12, 5:14 PMDec 31, 6:12 PM

59.02%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

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