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Prediction markets for European powers
Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?
Mar 29, 9:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.27%chance
262759
OptionVotes
2115
473
OptionVotes
1724
580
Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?
Jan 17, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.64%chance
291835
OptionVotes
325
31
OptionVotes
1162
901
Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?
May 13, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.02%chance
201133
OptionVotes
1559
915
OptionVotes
151
66
OptionProbability
38
31
29
2
0
OptionVotes
439
232
OptionVotes
321
31
OptionVotes
200
50
Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?
Jan 1, 2:38 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
13.2%chance
6247
OptionVotes
364
111
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
48.12%chance
4157
OptionVotes
1091
1011