European powers News
Top stories
Prediction markets for European powers
Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?
Mar 29, 9:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.27%chance
262759
OptionVotes
2115
473
OptionVotes
1729
578
OptionVotes
1137
920
OptionProbability
38
31
29
2
0
OptionVotes
439
232
OptionVotes
321
31
OptionVotes
200
50
Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?
Jan 1, 2:38 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
13.2%chance
6247
OptionVotes
364
111
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
48.12%chance
4157
OptionVotes
1091
1011
OptionProbability
76
54
50
43
20
OptionVotes
125
95
What will happen to Germany if AfD controlled Chancellorship before 2031?
Oct 6, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM
110
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
34



