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Prediction markets for European powers
Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates
Mar 9, 5:13 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
142249
OptionProbability
56
56
52
51
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
48
48
48
48
45
45
42
41
39
36
33
30
23
20
6
Will a serious war break out between two of the major military powers (NATO, US, China, Russia, Europe) before 2028?
Mar 29, 9:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.71%chance
122046
OptionVotes
1845
542
OptionVotes
2277
439
OptionVotes
1194
838
Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?
May 13, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.95%chance
191132
OptionVotes
1608
914
OptionProbability
39
29
29
3
0
Will the "Sky Shield" proposal and European fighter jets over Ukraine become reality in 2025?
Mar 6, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
17.27%chance
11859
OptionVotes
399
246
OptionVotes
301
287
Which will be the first 6th generation fighter to enter service with a country's military?
Apr 6, 7:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
6414
OptionProbability
35
18
14
14
12
9
0
0
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
63.06%chance
8279
OptionVotes
105
103
Will wind power account for more than 25% of the EU’s electricity production by 2025?
Jul 2, 6:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
34.8%chance
659
OptionVotes
130
96