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Prediction markets for Everly

Will Bitcoin ever go below $10,000 again?

Jan 20, 12:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.72%chance

204335370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1387

885

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

15.72%chance

421231457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4820

1095

Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

Mar 24, 7:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.78%chance

15155201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16867

9913

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

Jan 6, 5:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.65%chance

19737118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3086

1164

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Mar 20, 10:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.91%chance

12324394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

984

970

will human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?

Nov 7, 12:59 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

33.92%chance

2820856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6124

5575

Will China ever surpass US gdp?

Sep 4, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.76%chance

8820445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1248

805

Will JD Vance ever be president?

Jul 22, 12:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.2%chance

5510215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4990

3240

Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?

Oct 2, 4:20 PMOct 2, 4:19 PM

77.79%chance

255750

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1872

534

Will the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?

Jan 20, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.28%chance

193674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4107

1066

Will Elon Musk ever orbit or walk on the Moon?

Apr 1, 9:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.4%chance

392941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2505

1816

Will Jeff Bezos ever orbit or walk on the Moon?

Mar 25, 9:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.18%chance

371762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2571

1688

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