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Prediction markets for Everly

Will Manifold ever be worth $1B?

Apr 24, 4:23 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

4.08%chance

147481979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8263

1925

Will Bitcoin ever go below $10,000 again?

Jan 20, 12:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

45.62%chance

188328265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1499

780

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

10.22%chance

408225581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6320

876

Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

Mar 24, 7:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12%chance

14645614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16583

9952

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

Jan 6, 5:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

67.43%chance

19637008

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3008

1200

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

Mar 20, 10:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.08%chance

11724061

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1654

933

will human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?

Nov 7, 12:59 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

32.8%chance

2820756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6324

5475

Will I make IMO ever

Sep 25, 2:44 AMAug 1, 3:59 AM

35.7%chance

699170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2582

1545

Will JD Vance ever be president?

Jul 22, 12:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.41%chance

528036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4658

3459

Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?

Oct 2, 4:20 PMOct 2, 4:19 PM

78.44%chance

245740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1907

524

Will Elon Musk ever orbit or walk on the Moon?

Apr 1, 9:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.94%chance

392891

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2555

1803

Will the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?

Jan 20, 7:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.15%chance

81011

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2277

1772

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