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Prediction markets for Evolv Technology

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

72.07%chance

271122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

954

Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?

Aug 9, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.75%chance

31920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

883

Will I learn to visualize 4D space before 2035?

Jun 20, 9:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.5%chance

19887

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

970

Will at least some AIs receive legal protections against cruelty in the U.S. before 2050?

Aug 6, 1:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.62%chance

21788

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

968

Will the Brazilian judiciary introduce some kind of AI jurisdiction before 2030?

Dec 26, 3:45 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

48.51%chance

18772

OptionVotes

YES

NO

340

78

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Apr 7, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.24%chance

12734

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

111

Will the international space station be officially decommissioned before the end of 2030?

May 13, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.41%chance

14439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

61

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Nov 15, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

4281

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

100

72

59

45

When will antimatter reactors be created for space travel?

Mar 10, 5:06 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

13257

OptionProbability

After 2150 or never

Between 2051-2100

Before 2051

Between 2101-2150

54

17

15

14

Peter Thiel on JRE again before 2027

Jun 16, 8:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.57%chance

670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

80

Suffering and Human Meaning compared to Past (read description)

Apr 13, 6:10 PM

230

If Aliens Experience More Meaningful Lives Than us, Ought we Accept Our Demise? (Read Description)

Apr 16, 6:00 PM

130

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