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Prediction markets for Evolv Technology

Will a deepfake impersonating a White House official lead to a military incident involving US troops by October 7, 2025?

Apr 10, 11:14 AMOct 7, 11:59 PM

4.64%chance

319992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2708

223

Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?

Aug 9, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.75%chance

31920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

883

Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

76%chance

23912

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

940

Will at least some AIs receive legal protections against cruelty in the U.S. before 2050?

Aug 6, 1:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.62%chance

21788

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

968

Will the Brazilian judiciary introduce some kind of AI jurisdiction before 2030?

Dec 26, 3:45 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

56.18%chance

17752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

320

101

Will I learn to visualize 4D space before 2035?

Jun 20, 9:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54%chance

15733

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1083

923

NVIDIA blocked from selling H20 chips to China at August end?

Jul 15, 7:35 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

10.77%chance

19668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

288

35

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Apr 7, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.74%chance

10477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

108

Will the international space station be officially decommissioned before the end of 2030?

May 13, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.46%chance

10292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

When will antimatter reactors be created for space travel?

Mar 10, 5:06 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

13257

OptionProbability

After 2150 or never

Between 2051-2100

Before 2051

Between 2101-2150

54

17

15

14

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Nov 15, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

472

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

80

59

59

45

Peter Thiel on JRE again before 2027

Jun 16, 8:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.85%chance

560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

86

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