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Prediction markets for Evolve Bank

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

17.84%chance

4810173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1609

816

Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?

Apr 7, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.24%chance

12734

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

111

What will be the Bank of England interest rate on Jan 1, 2027

Feb 25, 12:25 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

3525

OptionProbability

3.75%

3.50%

4.00%

4.50%

4.25%

3.25%

4.75% or more

3.00%

2.75%

2.50% or less

26

23

13

9

8

7

7

4

3

2

Manifold have a central bank and I am chairman by 2030?

Jun 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.85%chance

6253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

287

35

What will be the Bank of England interest rate on Jan 1, 2030?

Feb 25, 12:45 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

4237

OptionProbability

2.00% to 2.75%

3.00% to 3.75%

4.00% to 4.75%

5.00% to 5.75%

below 1%

1.00% to 1.75%

6% or higher

22

22

16

13

10

10

7

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

51.45%chance

4170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

1027

Prediction markets are the hype cycle of 2026

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.44%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Manifold have a central bank and banking apparatus by 2030?

Jun 16, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.28%chance

7143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

187

54

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