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Prediction markets for Ex

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

57.98%chance

18941852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9995

9955

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

19.42%chance

31576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7442

5382

Will an ex-lover of Elon Musk embroil him in a public sex scandal before the end of 2028?

Mar 15, 12:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.66%chance

231395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

943

Will there be at least 5 living ex-POTUSes at any point before 2045?

Dec 30, 10:42 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

70.71%chance

14904

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1554

644

Will the number of species known to be extinct since 1500 (IUCN EX) reach 950 by 2030?

Mar 18, 4:40 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

96.92%chance

8829

OptionVotes

NO

YES

699

23

Will any ex-Hololive member join Phase Connect before June 2027?

Apr 17, 10:21 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

26.94%chance

6647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

607

Will any big tech ex-employee become President of the US before 2040?

Sep 22, 11:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

29.96%chance

21518

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

926

Will any ex-Nijisanji member join Phase Connect before June 2027?

Apr 17, 10:23 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

43.62%chance

2160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

880

Is Emmett Shear the interim ex-CEO of OpenAI?

Nov 24, 11:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.02%chance

377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

40

Will the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?

Jan 22, 5:20 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

37.61%chance

435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

78

Will Alexandr Wang be the richest person out of any ex-Quora employee at any point of time?

Mar 26, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.64%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

Will I find someone I like more than Aella liked her ex before 2031?

Aug 21, 6:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.01%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

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