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Prediction markets for Ex

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

61.74%chance

18440175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10901

9361

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

19.42%chance

31576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7442

5382

Will an ex-lover of Elon Musk embroil him in a public sex scandal before the end of 2028?

Mar 15, 12:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.66%chance

231395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

943

Will there be at least 5 living ex-POTUSes at any point before 2045?

Dec 30, 10:42 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

70.71%chance

14904

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1554

644

Will any ex-Hololive member join Phase Connect before June 2027?

Apr 17, 10:21 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

26.94%chance

6647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

607

Will any big tech ex-employee become President of the US before 2040?

Sep 22, 11:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

29.96%chance

21518

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

926

Will there be a THIRD scott pilgrim game after Scott Pilgrim EX? (before 2040)

Jun 6, 11:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

1300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the UK pay reparations to Caribbean ex-colonies before 2028?

Feb 8, 7:33 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.35%chance

9161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

44

Will any ex-Nijisanji member join Phase Connect before June 2027?

Apr 17, 10:23 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

43.62%chance

2160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

880

In what year will an animal be brought to live birth after being gestated entirely ex vivo?

Nov 27, 5:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5110

OptionProbability

2026-2030

2031-2040

2041-2050

2051-2060

2061-2070

2071-2080

2081-2090

2091-2100

2101-2110

2111-2120

2121-2130

36

29

11

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

Is Emmett Shear the interim ex-CEO of OpenAI?

Nov 24, 11:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.02%chance

377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

40

Will any of the current or ex US Congressman or Senator go to space before 2030?

Feb 2, 1:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.36%chance

752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

142

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