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Prediction markets for Ex

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

59.9%chance

19242525

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10424

9668

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

18.74%chance

41826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7692

5323

Will an ex-lover of Elon Musk embroil him in a public sex scandal before the end of 2028?

Mar 15, 12:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.66%chance

231395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1078

943

Will there be at least 5 living ex-POTUSes at any point before 2045?

Dec 30, 10:42 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

70.71%chance

14904

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1554

644

Will any ex-Hololive member join Phase Connect before June 2027?

Apr 17, 10:21 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

21.75%chance

7897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1897

527

Will any big tech ex-employee become President of the US before 2040?

Sep 22, 11:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

29.96%chance

21518

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

926

Will any ex-Nijisanji member join Phase Connect before June 2027?

Apr 17, 10:23 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

34.2%chance

3410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1387

721

Is Emmett Shear the interim ex-CEO of OpenAI?

Nov 24, 11:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.02%chance

377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

40

Will there be a new Deus Ex game by 2027?

Dec 10, 6:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43%chance

540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

96

Will China ex-works zirconium sponge spot price exceed 18 USD/kg on July 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:57 PMJul 31, 4:00 AM

52%chance

320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

Will China ex-works zirconium sponge spot price exceed 38 USD/kg on July 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:57 PMJul 31, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will China ex-works zirconium sponge spot price exceed 38 USD/kg on March 31, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:59 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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