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Prediction markets for eXch

On what dates will Rachel Reeves still be Chancellor of the Exchequer?

Jan 14, 11:05 AMDec 31, 12:01 AM

4420201

OptionProbability

2025-03-31 / 31st March 2025

2025-06-30 / 30th June 2025

2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025

2025-09-30 / 30th September 2025

2026-06-30 / 30th of June 2026

2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026

2027-12-31 / 31st December 2027

2028-12-31 / 31st December 2028

2029-12-31 / 31st December 2029

2030-12-31 / 31st December 2030

100

100

100

100

96

8

7

6

4

2

Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz?

Apr 5, 10:29 PMApr 5, 10:27 PM

21.57%chance

437378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1907

524

Will Binance be the #1 exchange in 2030?

Dec 15, 5:59 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

23.17%chance

404132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1430

787

Will the TXSE (Texas Stock Exchange) be seen as a viable alternative to the NYSE/Nasdaq by 2028?

Jun 5, 2:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15.42%chance

313083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2342

427

Will Twitter (X) be re listed in a public exchange and become a public company again before 2027?

Aug 6, 4:44 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

6.49%chance

182955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3615

552

Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?

Sep 24, 8:56 PMSep 24, 8:50 PM

61888

OptionProbability

Ed Miliband

Other

Wes Streeting

Pat McFadden

Darren Jones

Jonathan Reynolds

Yvette Cooper

Mel Stride

Jeremy Hunt

Richard Tice

Daisy Cooper

31

31

26

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Jesse Powell (co-founder of Kraken exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 2, 5:12 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

8.9%chance

16897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

953

Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of Ṁ before 2035?

Aug 11, 5:29 PMAug 11, 8:59 PM

5.61%chance

13822

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1289

949

Will Brian Armstrong (founder of Coinbase exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 27, 11:22 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

8.44%chance

18638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

965

Will Fred Ehrsam (crypto investor, co-founder at Coinbase exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 18, 12:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.45%chance

10447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

939

Will $1mn USD worth of funds be lost as a result of fraud committed by Coinbase Exchange? (Before 2030)

May 23, 3:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.98%chance

9277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

152

Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?

Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM

56.94%chance

1150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

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