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Prediction markets for Executive Council

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

47.66%chance

52539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10480

9542

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.64%chance

482387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5267

1567

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

46.74%chance

14929

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

937

Will a US Governor, Senator, President, or VP be in a open polyamourous relationship without scandal by the end of 2039?

Sep 19, 11:29 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

23.82%chance

20709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1242

901

How many antisemitic incidents reported in Australia (2025)?

Dec 3, 10:33 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

7642

OptionProbability

2000-2499

1500-1999

2500-2999

1000-1499

3000-3999

500-999

4000-4999

5000-6999

7000+

<500

30

19

14

7

7

5

5

5

5

3

Iran closes Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2025?

Jun 30, 5:15 PMAug 30, 11:59 PM

6.32%chance

9621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

385

26

Will Ukraine repeal the presidential decree that forbids negotiations with Vladimir Putin by the end of 2025?

Mar 12, 10:45 AMDec 31, 10:00 PM

26.51%chance

9235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

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