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Top stories

Kenya High Court Suspends President Ruto’s Multi-Agency Anti-Corruption Team Amid Petition by Four Activists and MPs Demand Evidence

Kenya High Court Suspends President Ruto’s Multi-Agency Anti-Corruption Team Amid Petition by Four Activists and MPs Demand Evidence

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Executive

[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?

Jan 7, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2333825

OptionProbability

5

4

6 - 7

3

8 - 9

10 - 11

12 - 15

0

1

2

27

24

21

12

8

3

2

1

1

1

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Aug 21, 6:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.17%chance

5217831

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2116

936

Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?

Jul 16, 2:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.46%chance

512592

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18447

6585

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.1%chance

429434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5885

4737

Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?

Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM

9.46%chance

809275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8745

1505

Who will be the next Executive Director of the Global Fund?

Aug 7, 4:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96656

OptionProbability

Any other person

Mark Dybul

Ashwin Vasan

John Nkengasong

Matshidiso Moeti

William Steiger

Helen Clark

37

14

11

11

11

9

5

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

46.81%chance

345992

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10059

9922

Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason?

Dec 24, 8:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.91%chance

754214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1126

840

SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.

Oct 9, 11:09 PMJan 1, 12:08 AM

82.18%chance

343773

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2147

466

Will Vietnam execute someone for fraud?

Jun 15, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

14.86%chance

123118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3582

645

Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027

Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

30.77%chance

9959

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1500

667

Tyler Robinson dies by judicial execution?

Sep 20, 4:46 AMSep 20, 4:42 AM

34.67%chance

6709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1373

728

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