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Prediction markets for Exeed
[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?
Jan 7, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2545572
OptionProbability
31
30
20
8
4
3
1
1
1
1
Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?
Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM
18.26%chance
5522494
OptionVotes
20673
5320
OptionVotes
2116
936
[ACX 2026] Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
Jan 6, 11:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.44%chance
3017290
OptionVotes
13159
4446
Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?
Jul 16, 2:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
17.11%chance
614403
OptionVotes
20258
6180
Will Nidal Hasans execution be livestreamed in 2026?
Oct 9, 6:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.15%chance
4913123
OptionVotes
5307
30
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.57%chance
5212004
OptionVotes
8319
3970
Will Jack MA return as a senior executive to Alibaba by 2026 year end?
Jan 4, 2:36 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM
15%chance
8510715
OptionVotes
6313
1835
OptionVotes
5573
420
Will the FTC, SEC, or EPA carve out a special exemption for a specific company?
Sep 13, 7:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50.45%chance
7530
OptionVotes
1009
991
Will I start exercising before 11 a.m. every day until December? (Ṁ10 bonus)
Oct 22, 3:46 PMNov 30, 11:00 PM
48.5%chance
983
OptionVotes
1031
970
Will "The easiest pathway to control is through exe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Jul 13, 4:28 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.86%chance
110
OptionVotes
1010
998