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Prediction markets for Exodus

Which country will have the largest exodus of people (increase in emigrant population) between 2020 and 2025?

Feb 5, 7:24 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM

7610746

OptionProbability

Ukraine

India

Venezuela

Palestine

Russia

Argentina

Other

China

Afghanistan

Pakistan

Syria

Mexico

81

4

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

38.23%chance

271685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

713

Does Exodus Propulsion's propellantless drive work?

Apr 28, 9:34 PMMay 1, 11:59 AM

37.29%chance

111481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

241

83

Will Exodus Propulsion Technologies propellantless propulsion work in space?

Apr 28, 8:23 AMMay 28, 10:59 PM

34%chance

4867

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

99

Will "OpenAI: Exodus" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 21, 4:46 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.73%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

985

Will Exodus have a better metacritic score than Starfield?

Dec 8, 1:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.11%chance

433

OptionVotes

NO

YES

93

87

Were any of the Venezuelans recently deported from America to El Salvador's mega-prison innocent?

Mar 24, 12:17 AM

120

Find me examples of groups that went from persecuted to persecutor within 30 years.

Dec 14, 10:11 PM

00

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