FAA News

FAA Fog Delays at Denver Airport Complicate Labor Day Rush

5 months ago

FAA Sets Tabletop Drills Before Lifting Boeing 737 MAX Production Cap

Business

United States

FAA Sets Tabletop Drills Before Lifting Boeing 737 MAX Production Cap

5 months ago

FAA Radio Outage Grounds Newark Arrivals, Triggers Two-Hour Delays

US Legislation

New Jersey

Politics

FAA Radio Outage Grounds Newark Arrivals, Triggers Two-Hour Delays

5 months ago

Space

Science

World

FAA Clears Firefly Aerospace to Resume Alpha Launches

5 months ago

Tech

American Airlines Flight 357 from Philadelphia to Phoenix Diverts to Washington Dulles After Passenger Device Fire and Smoke

5 months ago

Texas

Business

United States

Delta Boeing 737 Wing Flap Partially Detaches Mid-Flight From Orlando to Austin, FAA Investigates; Plane Lands Safely With 62 Passengers

6 months ago

Space

Tech

Science

National Aviation Day 2025 Marks Orville Wright’s Birthday, NASA X-59, $12.5B FAA ATC Modernization, and Long Beach Airport Grant

6 months ago

Natural Disasters

Chicago

Boston

FAA Investigates American Airlines Flight Return Amid Thunderstorms Disrupting Chicago, Boston, Denver Flights and Southwest Service

6 months ago

When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time?

May 20, 1:25 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

3018683

OptionProbability

Before 2027-07-01

Before 2027-04-01

Before 2027-01-01

Before 2026-10-01

Before 2026-07-01

Before 2025-01-01

Before 2025-07-01

Before 2026-01-01

Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

Mar 8, 5:52 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

77.58%chance

154659

OptionVotes

YES

1860

538

Will any FAANG company be split up due to antitrust action before 2029?

Jan 23, 6:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.74%chance

392695

OptionVotes

YES

1511

704

Will anyone on Earth be injured by debris from a Starlink satellite by the start of 2035?

Jan 15, 9:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.35%chance

132254

OptionVotes

YES

2943

340

@chrisjbillington omnimarket 1 - add questions you want me to resolve and clarify on your behalf

Jan 13, 5:57 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

52033

OptionProbability

Will SpaceX's Starship–SuperHeavy lift off from the launch pad two or more times between 1 January 2024 and 1 July 2024 inclusive?

Will Manifold users reach the $10,000 monthly charity donation cap in any of the first six months of 2024? (Excepting the excluded period at the start of January)?

Will Starship IFT-3 launch within a week of receiving the launch license from the FAA?

To whom does Manifold need to extend its userbase in order to be self-sustaining (link in comments)

[Don't bet on this yet, criteria TBA] How many Manifold users will have a net worth of 1 million mana or more on 1 July 2024? (Rules below)

Will the Tesla Cybertruck be available in Australia by 2034?

[At least ten answers will be added in 2024 that I don't initially N/A]

[At least fifty answers will be added in 2024 that I don't initially N/A]

100

Will Stoke Space fly to space by 2027?

Dec 16, 6:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.45%chance

111879

OptionVotes

YES

1294

775

Will 90% of FAA air traffic controllers be fired as a direct result of Artificial Intelligence by 2030?

Mar 1, 6:10 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.75%chance

15617

OptionVotes

YES

1428

841

Which eVTOL manufacturer will be first to achieve FAA certification?

Aug 10, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7326

OptionProbability

Joby

Archer

Beta Technologies

Wisk

Removed - will resolve N/A

Other

Volocopter

Will Donald Trump privatize the FAA’s Air Traffic Control (ATC) system during his presidency?

Nov 11, 10:53 PMJan 6, 4:59 AM

25.48%chance

8145

OptionVotes

YES

171

When will New Glenn 9x4 reach orbit for the first time?

Nov 21, 3:28 AMDec 31, 3:23 AM

3102

OptionProbability

Other

Cancelled

2028 Q3

2027 Q4

2028 Q1

2028 Q2

2028 Q4

2027 Q3

2027 Q2

2027 Q1

Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?

Jan 23, 2:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.87%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

150

Will the commercial pilot shortage end before the end of 2030?

Nov 26, 10:57 PMJan 1, 5:01 AM

65.32%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

134

FAA News

Top stories

Prediction markets for FAA

Prediction markets for FAA

Prediction markets for FAA

When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time?

Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

Will any FAANG company be split up due to antitrust action before 2029?

Will anyone on Earth be injured by debris from a Starlink satellite by the start of 2035?

@chrisjbillington omnimarket 1 - add questions you want me to resolve and clarify on your behalf

Will Stoke Space fly to space by 2027?

Will 90% of FAA air traffic controllers be fired as a direct result of Artificial Intelligence by 2030?

Which eVTOL manufacturer will be first to achieve FAA certification?

Will Donald Trump privatize the FAA’s Air Traffic Control (ATC) system during his presidency?

When will New Glenn 9x4 reach orbit for the first time?

Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?

Will the commercial pilot shortage end before the end of 2030?

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