FAA News

FAA Fog Delays at Denver Airport Complicate Labor Day Rush

1 year ago

FAA Sets Tabletop Drills Before Lifting Boeing 737 MAX Production Cap

Business

United States

FAA Sets Tabletop Drills Before Lifting Boeing 737 MAX Production Cap

1 year ago

FAA Radio Outage Grounds Newark Arrivals, Triggers Two-Hour Delays

US Legislation

New Jersey

Politics

FAA Radio Outage Grounds Newark Arrivals, Triggers Two-Hour Delays

1 year ago

Space

Science

World

FAA Clears Firefly Aerospace to Resume Alpha Launches

1 year ago

Tech

American Airlines Flight 357 from Philadelphia to Phoenix Diverts to Washington Dulles After Passenger Device Fire and Smoke

1 year ago

Texas

Business

United States

Delta Boeing 737 Wing Flap Partially Detaches Mid-Flight From Orlando to Austin, FAA Investigates; Plane Lands Safely With 62 Passengers

1 year ago

Space

Tech

Science

National Aviation Day 2025 Marks Orville Wright’s Birthday, NASA X-59, $12.5B FAA ATC Modernization, and Long Beach Airport Grant

1 year ago

Natural Disasters

Chicago

Boston

FAA Investigates American Airlines Flight Return Amid Thunderstorms Disrupting Chicago, Boston, Denver Flights and Southwest Service

1 year ago

When will Starship reach orbit?

Apr 2, 6:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1814535

OptionProbability

Jul-Dec 2026

2027

Apr-Jun 2026

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032+ or never

Will Stoke Space fly to space before 2027?

Dec 16, 6:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.81%chance

175730

OptionVotes

YES

5031

199

Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

Mar 8, 5:52 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

82.23%chance

185259

OptionVotes

YES

2151

465

Will any FAANG company be split up due to antitrust action before 2029?

Jan 23, 6:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.56%chance

403195

OptionVotes

YES

2011

556

Will anyone on Earth be injured by debris from a Starlink satellite by the start of 2035?

Jan 15, 9:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.35%chance

132254

OptionVotes

YES

2943

340

@chrisjbillington omnimarket 1 - add questions you want me to resolve and clarify on your behalf

Jan 13, 5:57 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

52033

OptionProbability

Will SpaceX's Starship–SuperHeavy lift off from the launch pad two or more times between 1 January 2024 and 1 July 2024 inclusive?

Will Manifold users reach the $10,000 monthly charity donation cap in any of the first six months of 2024? (Excepting the excluded period at the start of January)?

Will Starship IFT-3 launch within a week of receiving the launch license from the FAA?

To whom does Manifold need to extend its userbase in order to be self-sustaining (link in comments)

[Don't bet on this yet, criteria TBA] How many Manifold users will have a net worth of 1 million mana or more on 1 July 2024? (Rules below)

Will the Tesla Cybertruck be available in Australia by 2034?

[At least ten answers will be added in 2024 that I don't initially N/A]

[At least fifty answers will be added in 2024 that I don't initially N/A]

100

Will 90% of FAA air traffic controllers be fired as a direct result of Artificial Intelligence by 2030?

Mar 1, 6:10 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.75%chance

15617

OptionVotes

YES

1428

841

Which eVTOL manufacturer will be first to achieve FAA certification?

Aug 10, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9343

OptionProbability

Joby

Archer

Beta Technologies

Wisk

Removed - will resolve N/A

Other

Volocopter

When will it be possible to routinely fly beyond visual line of sight drones in the US with a permit or certificate?

Apr 3, 2:38 PMJan 1, 3:36 PM

2223

OptionProbability

2027

Before 2027

Jan 2028 - Jun 2028

Jul 2028 - Dec 2028

Jan 2029 - Jun 2029

Jul 2029 - Dec 2029

2030-2031

Not by 2031

Will Donald Trump privatize the FAA’s Air Traffic Control (ATC) system during his presidency?

Nov 11, 10:53 PMJan 6, 4:59 AM

25.48%chance

8145

OptionVotes

YES

171

Will I get an FAA Part 107 license, or Remote Pilot Certificate, within one year?

Feb 12, 8:44 AMFeb 12, 8:37 AM

60.51%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

124

Will the commercial pilot shortage end before the end of 2030?

Nov 26, 10:57 PMJan 1, 5:01 AM

65.32%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

134

FAA News

Top stories

Prediction markets for FAA

Prediction markets for FAA

Prediction markets for FAA

When will Starship reach orbit?

Will Stoke Space fly to space before 2027?

Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

Will any FAANG company be split up due to antitrust action before 2029?

Will anyone on Earth be injured by debris from a Starlink satellite by the start of 2035?

@chrisjbillington omnimarket 1 - add questions you want me to resolve and clarify on your behalf

Will 90% of FAA air traffic controllers be fired as a direct result of Artificial Intelligence by 2030?

Which eVTOL manufacturer will be first to achieve FAA certification?

When will it be possible to routinely fly beyond visual line of sight drones in the US with a permit or certificate?

Will Donald Trump privatize the FAA’s Air Traffic Control (ATC) system during his presidency?

Will I get an FAA Part 107 license, or Remote Pilot Certificate, within one year?

Will the commercial pilot shortage end before the end of 2030?

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