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Prediction markets for Fable

Fable reenabled for Europeans before July 1?

Jun 13, 9:49 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

18.1%chance

558201955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21271

4701

Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 to all customers by the end of June?

Jun 13, 1:26 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM

22.02%chance

25752454

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1582

754

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by June 30?

Jun 16, 8:04 AMJun 30, 6:59 AM

42.25%chance

19548299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3912

2018

Will Claude Fable 5 be re-enabled for Non-Americans before July 1st, 2026?

Jun 13, 9:47 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.81%chance

7112853

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1533

794

Will Anthropic release a non-Fable model before Fable is rereleased?

Jun 17, 9:39 PMDec 31, 10:34 PM

43.59%chance

588617

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

879

Will the public officially be able to access Fable 5 again by the end of.July?

Jun 13, 1:40 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

84.08%chance

367439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2298

435

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by July 15?

Jun 17, 1:36 AMJul 16, 6:59 AM

72.68%chance

536641

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1631

613

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by July 31?

Jun 18, 1:03 AMAug 1, 6:59 AM

85.3%chance

336166

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2409

415

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by August 15?

Jun 24, 1:44 AMAug 16, 6:59 AM

90.67%chance

92286

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3117

321

Will OpenAI release a Mythos-class model before Fable is reenabled?

Jun 21, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.42%chance

172199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2037

491

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by August 31?

Jun 24, 1:48 AMSep 1, 6:59 AM

88.88%chance

61884

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2827

354

Will Claude Fable 5 be API Pricing Only when public access returns?

Jun 14, 2:21 AMJan 1, 2:21 AM

15.39%chance

121728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2345

426

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