Fabric News

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.43%chance

233162

OptionVotes

YES

1875

705

Will the release of the FBI tapes of Martin Luther King Jr. corroborate the claim that he participated in rape?

Jan 11, 5:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

22.49%chance

283124

OptionVotes

YES

1857

539

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

Jun 6, 1:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.73%chance

183089

OptionVotes

YES

1442

916

Nguyen Teddy Bear Stock

Apr 11, 9:47 AM

82916

OptionProbability

YES

588

418

Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?

Apr 18, 2:44 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

14.42%chance

321978

OptionVotes

YES

1455

838

[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

Apr 9, 2:49 AMJan 2, 12:00 PM

96.42%chance

111453

OptionVotes

YES

1122

101

Which is the earliest year we'll have a non-biological 3D printer that can reproduce itself without loss of fidelity?

Jul 30, 6:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

201214

OptionProbability

2030

2050

2035

we will not produce such a thing by 2150 (doesn't matter the reason why)

2150

2027

Will a semiconductor fabrication plant project in Australia be announced before June 1st 2026?

Dec 18, 11:25 PMJun 2, 1:59 AM

15.21%chance

11713

OptionVotes

YES

413

111

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Mar 12, 6:40 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

19463

OptionProbability

Robots

Some As of Early 2024 Not Even Published Yet Architecture as Revolutionary as Transformers was in 2017

Synthetic Biology / Genetic Engineering: For example, developing new vaccines, engineering proteins for sustainable fabric production, developing cell-cultured meats, plant-based meat alternatives, and engineering human immune cells.

Quantum Computing

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before November 2028?

Oct 19, 12:12 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM

43.06%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

1150

870

Tesla announces formal Intel partnership for AI chip fab by June 30, 2026

Nov 24, 5:03 AMJun 29, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will it be shown JoAnn E. Manson committed academic misconduct by 2040?

Apr 8, 11:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.04%chance

OptionVotes

YES

Fabric News

Prediction markets for Fabric

Prediction markets for Fabric

Prediction markets for Fabric

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Will the release of the FBI tapes of Martin Luther King Jr. corroborate the claim that he participated in rape?

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

Nguyen Teddy Bear Stock

Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?

[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

Which is the earliest year we'll have a non-biological 3D printer that can reproduce itself without loss of fidelity?

Will a semiconductor fabrication plant project in Australia be announced before June 1st 2026?

What Will Be the Next Big Tech Industry Hype Cycle Thing After GPT-Enabled LLM's?

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before November 2028?

Tesla announces formal Intel partnership for AI chip fab by June 30, 2026

Will it be shown JoAnn E. Manson committed academic misconduct by 2040?

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