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Prediction markets for Facebook

Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027?

Jun 23, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.48%chance

232238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

842

Will Meta's Metaverse ever outearn its Facebook?

Nov 5, 12:11 AMJul 23, 3:59 AM

16.29%chance

231355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1640

816

Which social network will surpass Facebook's monthly active users first?

Jul 28, 5:35 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

22802

OptionProbability

YouTube

Instagram

TikTok

WhatsApp

WeChat

Other

51

23

23

1

1

1

Will Facebook / Meta restart their crypto project (Diem / Libra) under the Trump administration? (Stablecoin Payments)

Feb 6, 12:31 AMNov 30, 12:59 PM

10.9%chance

19711

OptionVotes

YES

NO

286

35

Will Meta (Facebook) deliver on it's web3/metaverse vision before 2030?

Oct 27, 9:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.56%chance

10615

OptionVotes

YES

NO

346

80

Under Hawley's proposed law, would the generative AI definition apply to curation algorithms like YouTube or Facebook?

Dec 6, 10:18 PMMar 16, 3:59 AM

8%chance

14604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

953

Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2027?

Jan 11, 1:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.64%chance

11281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

229

109

Who will be the next CEO of Facebook after Mark Zuckerberg?

May 11, 11:08 PMJan 3, 4:59 AM

15248

OptionProbability

Other

Alexandr Wang

Andrew Bosworth

Dina Powell McCormick

Chris Cox

Javier Olivan

Sheryl Sandberg

35

27

15

8

7

6

3

Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2029?

Jan 11, 1:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.34%chance

656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

141

At the end of 2027 will Facebook still be the youngest company to IPO at $15 Billion or higher?

May 3, 3:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.33%chance

353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

66

Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2030?

Jan 11, 1:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.42%chance

443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

112

messenger facebook Aİ release by 2030

Jan 16, 3:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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