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Prediction markets for Factorial

AI factories before 2030? [Remy Gangrien Vs. AI 2027 $10,000 bet]

May 29, 3:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.42%chance

268589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2784

359

Will some factory farmed animals be made incapable of experiencing any physical or psychological suffering, by 2030?

Feb 10, 12:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.56%chance

386836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3040

753

Will an AI run a factory by the end of 2030 (start of 2031)

May 29, 5:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.73%chance

162887

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2083

480

Will an AI run a factory by the end of 2028 (start of 2029)

May 29, 5:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.48%chance

81553

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2430

411

Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2050?

Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70.45%chance

381457

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1231

871

Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2040?

Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.37%chance

26576

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1147

821

Will popular opinion in the U.S. be that factory farming is a moral atrocity by end of 2075?

Jan 10, 6:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74.2%chance

24485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

936

If biological humans still exist in 2100, the majority of them will regard factory farming as a great evil of the past

Jan 29, 4:38 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

68.28%chance

14348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

954

Will Lego's new carbon-neutral factory in Virginia open by the end of 2025 as planned?

Dec 6, 8:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.16%chance

9285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

335

30

Will the next pandemic be primarily caused or significantly spread by factory farming?

Feb 19, 12:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

35%chance

13213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

941

Will Lego's new carbon-neutral factory in Virginia open by the end of 2027?

Jul 14, 5:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.06%chance

3143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Will Lego open a third factory in the Americas by the end of 2027?

Dec 6, 8:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.76%chance

663

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

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