DeepNewz, mobile.

People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story list view.

Search

For You

FAIR News

Footer

AI

AI Fundraising
AI Modeling
AI Products

Business

Automobile
Company Earnings
Economics
Law
Prediction Markets
Real Estate
Rumors
Stocks
VC

Crypto

Airdrops
Blockchains
CBDCs
DeFi
Hacks
Markets
Memecoin
Mining
NFT
Regulation

Culture

Anime
Celebrities
Crime
Education
Movies
Music
Obituary
TV
Video Games

Environment

Climate
Energy
Natural Disasters
Natural Resources
Sustainability

Politics

DOGE
Epstein Files
Executive Orders
Tariffs
US Domestic Policy
US Elections
US Foreign Policy
US Gov Appointments
US Judiciary
US Legislation
War

Science

Archeology
Bio
Health
Math
Pharma
Physics
Space

Sports

Boxing
Chess
Cricket
Golf
Hockey
MLB
NBA
NCAA
NFL
Olympics
PGA
Poker
Racing
Rugby
Soccer
Tennis
UFC

Tech

AR-VR
Fintech
Infosec
IoT
Metaverse
Policy
Robotics
Smart Home
Software
Startups
Wearables

United States

Arizona
Boston
California
Chicago
Colorado
Detroit
Florida
Georgia
Las Vegas
Los Angeles
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Oregon
Philadelphia
San Francisco
Seattle
Texas
Utah
Washington DC

World

Terms of Service

WhatsApp YouTube X

© 2026 DeepNFTValue, Inc. All rights reserved.

Prediction markets for FAIR

In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?

Jul 2, 11:10 AMFeb 16, 1:48 PM

14735087

OptionProbability

Some year after 2040.

AGI will end humanity before such a consensus will be reached

2030

2031

2029

2028

2032

Such a consensus will never be reached because such an AI is not possible to create

2025

2026

2027

2033

2024

2034

2037

2023

2035

2036

2038

2039

2040

31

10

8

8

6

5

4

4

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?

Feb 13, 8:46 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

63.77%chance

8413130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2485

655

Will any GPT beat Stockfish in a fair fight before 2030?

Dec 14, 3:25 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.77%chance

5610829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1240

876

Conditional on Trump winning will the 2028 election be fairly held?

Jul 27, 5:38 AMDec 30, 6:59 PM

86.86%chance

458472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2571

389

Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?

Jan 20, 12:17 AMFeb 1, 5:59 AM

67.92%chance

287420

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1173

133

Conditional on Donald Trump winning the election, will there be a free and fair election in 2028?

Jun 30, 7:11 AMJul 31, 1:59 PM

65%chance

466004

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

734

Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?

Apr 21, 1:37 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM

38%chance

774600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1258

973

Will the 2026 US Midterm Elections generally be considered free and fair?

Nov 26, 12:18 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

74%chance

403584

OptionVotes

NO

YES

607

593

Will Brazil's 2026 election be free and fair?

Sep 2, 8:54 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.86%chance

203323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2124

471

Free & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?

Jan 6, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.16%chance

162007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1990

502

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.7%chance

15616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1403

713

Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?

Jan 17, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.05%chance

9490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1380

807

Latest stories