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Prediction markets for Falcons

Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 700 times?

May 22, 5:47 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

96.31%chance

204815

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5289

495

How many Falcon 9-family rockets will SpaceX have launched at the time of their retirement?

Aug 28, 2:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

91.25%chance

122113

OptionProbability

NO

YES

3017

429

In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches?

Jan 15, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

192072

OptionProbability

2029-2030

2027-2028

After 2030 / never

2024-2026

41

39

19

1

When do we see peak Falcon?

Jan 25, 2:38 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

121964

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2025

2028

2029

Other

2030

2024

43

18

13

11

6

4

3

2

When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times

Apr 14, 10:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

161960

OptionProbability

Before Jan 1 2029

Before Jan 1 2030

Before Jan 1 2028

Never

Before Jan 1 2027

2030 or later

Before Jan 1 2026

86

86

83

14

5

4

0

Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267?

Aug 31, 9:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.98%chance

91530

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

961

Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?

Dec 18, 5:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

80.77%chance

181518

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1999

553

🏈 Atlanta Falcons (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲

Apr 15, 3:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81142

OptionProbability

Drafts at least one QB in the NFL Draft

Multiple QBs win a game

The team moves or is renamed before 2050

Scores over 23.5 points in Week 1

Wins a preseason game

100

100

50

0

0

When will the last SpaceX Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy launch be?

Jul 18, 4:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.75%chance

13423

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1020

986

Will New Glenn launch more than Falcon 9 in 2030?

Dec 21, 12:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.53%chance

484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Will Falcon 9/FH Launch More Mass to Orbit than Starship in 2027?

Feb 3, 5:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33%chance

242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Significant attack on post-quantum signature FALCON published before Nov 2026

Nov 21, 8:05 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

35.7%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

90

55

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