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FAR Council News
Prediction markets for FAR Council
Prediction markets for FAR Council
Is Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?
Mar 11, 6:04 PM
Dec 31, 5:21 PM
5.35%
chance
45
7870
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4206
238
Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Mar 1, 4:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
21.21%
chance
14
835
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1015
943
What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant Y?
Sep 8, 6:58 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
3.05%
chance
8
747
Option
Votes
YES
NO
665
113
What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant N?
Sep 8, 6:59 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
47.96%
chance
10
588
Option
Votes
NO
YES
372
367
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