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FAR Council News
Prediction markets for FAR Council
Prediction markets for FAR Council
Is Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?
Mar 11, 6:04 PM
Dec 31, 5:21 PM
5.14%
chance
44
7865
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4297
233
Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Mar 1, 4:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
22.59%
chance
12
744
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1031
884
What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant Y?
Sep 8, 6:58 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
2.73%
chance
8
680
Option
Votes
YES
NO
732
111
What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant N?
Sep 8, 6:59 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
47.96%
chance
9
573
Option
Votes
NO
YES
372
367
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