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Prediction markets for FARA

Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?

Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

79.26%chance

242639

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1955

512

Will Nigel Farage complete his full term as a Reform Party MP?

Jul 5, 2:54 AMJul 12, 10:59 PM

74.09%chance

261912

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1691

591

Will Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?

Oct 27, 2:21 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

9.25%chance

231486

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1422

912

Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?

Mar 11, 7:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

121482

OptionProbability

Other

Richard Tice

Lee Anderson

Party ceases to exist

Zia Yusuf

James McMurdock

Rupert Lowe

54

14

9

9

7

5

3

Nigel Farage becomes UK Prime Minister before 2035?

May 3, 7:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.85%chance

151262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1497

668

Does there exist at least 1 pair of humans which can telepathically communicate through a faraday cage?

Mar 27, 6:57 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

6.98%chance

8890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

434

87

Will Nigel Farage be alive for the next UK general election?

Jun 1, 2:17 AMAug 16, 2:10 AM

95.05%chance

12594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

438

23

Will a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?

Feb 9, 3:25 AMAug 15, 10:59 PM

25.84%chance

12288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

How long before Jackson Hinkle is charged for violating FARA?

Jun 21, 4:50 PMDec 31, 5:48 PM

227

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