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Prediction markets for FAST

Will fast take-off happen this year?

Jan 2, 1:36 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

1.19%chance

5899393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9131

110

By 2030, Humanoid Robots can Fold laundry as well and as fast as the median human clothing store employee.

Jan 5, 11:09 AMJan 12, 8:09 AM

67.57%chance

748052

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

933

Will fast takeoff (less than 72 hours from AGI to ASI) occur (before 2050)?

May 17, 5:25 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.69%chance

405915

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2086

479

When will a fast take-off scenario occur?

Feb 12, 1:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

191381

OptionProbability

After 2030 / Never

Before 2030

Before 2027

Before 2026

Before 2025

88

18

8

5

1

How fast will I run in the 5k by August 25, 2025?

Mar 5, 1:35 AMAug 26, 6:59 AM

21983

OptionProbability

Faster than 21:00

Faster than 20:00

Faster than 19:00

Faster than 18:00

Faster than 17:00

95

93

55

8

1

Will an American national fast food chain use lab-grown/cultured meat in a product by 2030?

Jan 16, 11:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.84%chance

32694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1316

881

In what year will over half of us fast food restaurants in the US have less than 2 employees on staff at a time?

Jun 22, 1:06 AMJun 29, 4:59 AM

8415

Will Fast Retailing share price drop below 35,000 JPY by EOY?

Jun 9, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

2305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1305

766

Which fast food chain in the USA will offer a lab-grown / cultivated meat product first?

Apr 2, 6:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14201

OptionProbability

Other

Burger King

White Castle

Shake Shack

Mc Donald's

Chipotle

Trump House

Lyfe Kitchen

Sonics

Kentucky Fried Chicken KFC

Panera Bread

The Organic Coup

BurgerFi

Sweetgreen

Zaxbys

Raising Cane

Arby's

Taco Bell

Wendy's

Popeyes

Chik-fil-A

Checkers/Rallys

15

13

10

8

7

7

7

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

Will AI be capable of fast self improvement before physical AI robots are massively used for improving AI capabilities?

Nov 9, 12:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

87.32%chance

8174

OptionVotes

NO

YES

268

59

Will Tadashi Yanai (founder of Fast Retailing) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 27, 2:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.32%chance

349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

45

Will AI-enhanced video-editing software automatically slow-down frame rate of fast-scrolled videos by EOY 2027?

Feb 28, 7:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

111

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