FAU News

Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade

Sep 11, 2:06 PMSep 12, 3:59 AM

67%chance

407977

OptionVotes

YES

1425

702

Liz Cheney, Anthony Fauci, or AOC arrested before 2026

Feb 5, 4:08 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

7.87%chance

355905

OptionVotes

YES

3422

292

Will Fauci be indicted?

Dec 11, 7:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.28%chance

464503

OptionVotes

YES

1084

452

Will Faustino Oro become world chess champion by 2040?

Jun 4, 3:16 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.54%chance

132639

OptionVotes

YES

2247

445

Will at least one U.S. state eliminate or significantly restrict no-fault divorce by December 31, 2025?

Sep 17, 6:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.29%chance

121641

OptionVotes

YES

2187

457

Wide acceptance of Lab Leak hypothesis for COVID only within 3 months of Fauci passing away

Sep 22, 7:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.52%chance

231553

OptionVotes

YES

1309

918

Will Fauci be convicted?

Dec 11, 7:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6.51%chance

221217

OptionVotes

YES

1224

955

Will an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?

Aug 27, 4:27 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.71%chance

251027

OptionVotes

YES

1258

935

Which party was at fault in the 2024 Haneda Airport runway collision?

Jan 5, 10:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14893

OptionProbability

The pilots of the stationary coast guard plane

The air traffic controllers

The procedures themselves

The pilots of the landing Japan Airlines Airbus A350

The airplane manufacturers

The maintenance crew

Somebody else/nobody

Faucet. Borrow money forever.

Mar 30, 10:11 PMDec 30, 9:03 PM

38.1%chance

12456

OptionVotes

YES

1043

999

🏀 Men’s College Basketball props (Eye on College Basketball podcast play-along)

Nov 10, 5:17 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

6448

OptionProbability

Nebraska misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)

Northwestern misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)

Washington St. misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)

TCU misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)

FAU misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)

South Carolina misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)

Rutgers misses the 2025 NCAA tournament despite being in the AP preseason Top 25 (MN, 11/5)

Cincinnati misses the 2025 NCAA tournament despite being in the AP preseason Top 25 (GP, 11/5)

Over 32.5 pts + rebounds + assists + blocks + steals by Cooper Flagg (GP took over, MN took under, 11/5)

Larrañaga out as Miami head coach by April (MN & GP both no, 11/11)

SEC will get 12+ teams into the tourney (MN, 12/15)

2025 champ comes from the SEC (MN & GP, 11/11)

These 4 are the only new coaches at high-major programs to make the 2025 NCAA tournament: Kalipari at UArk, Diebler at OSU, Pope at KY, May at U-M (GP & MN, see comments for full list, 11/5)

Wisconsin misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)

BYU misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)

Mississippi St. misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN, 11/5)

Utah St. misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)

Texas A&M misses the 2025 NCAA tournament despite being in the AP preseason Top 25 (MN, 11/5)

Ole Miss misses the 2025 NCAA tournament despite being in the AP preseason Top 25 (MN, 11/5)

Kentucky misses the 2025 NCAA tournament despite being in the AP preseason Top 25 (GP, 11/5)

Over 6.5 non-power conference (outside big-6) at-large NCAA tournament bids (GP under at 4, MN over at 8)

Arizona is the last regular season unbeaten team (MN, 11/5)

UConn is the last regular season unbeaten team (GP, 11/5)

High-major coach fired before Jan 19th (GP & MN both said no, 11/5)

Will Wade is coaching McNeese State in Nov 2025 (GP & MN both said no, 11/5)

Marquette's Kam Jones has over 2.5 40-point games this season (GP took under, MN took over, 11/5)

A-10 will get 3+ teams into the tourney (MN, 12/15)

100

When will the first at-fault Waymo death occur?

Apr 26, 3:34 AMJan 2, 3:29 AM

4155

FAU News

Prediction markets for FAU

Prediction markets for FAU

Prediction markets for FAU

Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade

Liz Cheney, Anthony Fauci, or AOC arrested before 2026

Will Fauci be indicted?

Will Faustino Oro become world chess champion by 2040?

Will at least one U.S. state eliminate or significantly restrict no-fault divorce by December 31, 2025?

Wide acceptance of Lab Leak hypothesis for COVID only within 3 months of Fauci passing away

Will Fauci be convicted?

Will an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?

Which party was at fault in the 2024 Haneda Airport runway collision?

Faucet. Borrow money forever.

🏀 Men’s College Basketball props (Eye on College Basketball podcast play-along)

When will the first at-fault Waymo death occur?

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