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Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.55%chance

799213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1428

958

Will Gavin Newsom be the favorite for Democratic Nominee on Dec. 31, 2026? [Per Polymarket Data]

Jul 25, 4:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.3%chance

374862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2353

425

Will a country ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving in at least one city center by the end of 2040?

Mar 18, 10:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

453877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

968

If the Netherlands has a referendum on leaving the EU, will it favor leaving?

Nov 23, 1:14 AMNov 29, 7:59 AM

10.89%chance

261512

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1845

830

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 70% before his death?

Feb 7, 1:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.54%chance

281167

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1179

818

Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?

Sep 8, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:22 PM

59%chance

3574

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1200

834

Will Ketanji Brown Jackson rule in favor of Virginia's redistricting

May 9, 1:20 AMJan 1, 2:19 AM

79.63%chance

5465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1435

857

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 50% before his death?

Feb 7, 1:36 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.29%chance

13436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1258

901

Will Microsoft discontinue Windows in favor of a Windows themed Linux distribution before 2041?

Jan 19, 1:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.13%chance

6395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1234

949

Will more than one world-class winning team in a competitive, physical sport remove rote repetition from their training in favor of an ecological approach to training by 2042?

Dec 23, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.95%chance

11304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

973

What will be Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans at the time of his death? [resolves to percentage]

Feb 8, 7:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

66.39%chance

13175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

982

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 60% before his death?

Feb 7, 1:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.86%chance

790

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

995

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