OptionProbability
[Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories
[Red Bull-BORA] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Lotto-Intermarche] 13 or more victories (.1 or higher)
[UAE] 40 or more WorldTour victories
[FDJ-Suez] Demi Vollering scores the most UCI points of any woman in 2026
[Uno-X] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[Decathlon] Olav Kooij wins 4 or more WorldTour races
[UAE] Antonio Morgado podiums a 1.UWT classic race
[Decathlon] Top 6 in the UCI rankings in 2026
[Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France
[Lidl-Trek] Do not podium any Grand Tour GC
[Soudal-Quickstep] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Lidl-Trek] 23 or more WorldTour victories
[Lidl-Trek] Juan Ayuso podiums the Vuelta a España GC
[Decathlon] Win a stage in all three Grand Tours
[Soudal-Quickstep] Ilan van Wilder has a better average finishing position than Remco Evenepoel in the Ardennes classics (Amstel, Fleche, LBL)
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
[Uno-X] Johannes Kulset scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit
[Visma] Sepp Kuss finishes better than Jonas Vingegaard at the Tour de France
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins a Giro d'Italia stage
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins 3 Vuelta stages + the green jersey
[UAE] Tadej Pogacar wins all five Monuments
[Red Bull-BORA] Finish on the podium in GC in all three Grand Tours
[Lidl-Trek] Mathias Vacek wins a cobbled classic
[Lidl-Trek] Mads Pedersen does not win a WorldTour race
[Ineos] Joshua Tarling wins more time trials than Remco Evenepoel
[Lotto-Intermarche] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[Uno-X] Jonas Abrahamsen wins 2 or more Grand Tour stages
[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season
[Ineos] Egan Bernal and Brandon Rivera sign with Movistar before EOY 2026
[Lidl-Trek] Mattias Skjelmose leaves the team before the end of 2026
[Uno-X] Do not finish in the top 10 of any Grand Tour GC
[NSN] Biniam Girmay wins a 1.UWT race
[Alpecin] Win the points classification in two Grand Tours
[Visma] A French rider on Visma wins a WorldTour stage race GC
[Uno-X] Adne Holter scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Visma] Bruno Armirail wins a Tour de France stage
[Red Bull-BORA] Laurence Pithie podiums a Monument
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins the King of the Mountains at the Giro d'Italia
[Alpecin] Jasper Philipsen wins Gent-Wevelgem
[Visma] Wilco Kelderman wins a race
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums the Giro d'Italia
[Visma] Timo Kielich finishes in the top 5 at Paris-Roubaix
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas wins Il Lombardia
[NSN] Corbin Strong podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins Milan-San Remo
90
71
65
62
61
60
60
60
59
55
54
50
34
34
34
34
32
31
29
29
28
26
25
24
24
24
24
24
20
20
20
19
18
18
15
14
12
12
10
10
8
6
5
5
4
1
0
