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Prediction markets for Fed Funds

Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 11:18 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

98.79%chance

2863602

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11829

384

Fed decision in April?

Dec 11, 9:03 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

1210486

OptionProbability

No change

25+ bps increase

25 bps decrease

50+ bps decrease

95

3

2

1

Fed decision in April?

Mar 19, 2:53 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

64592

OptionProbability

No change

25+ bps increase

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

95

3

1

1

Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?

Mar 5, 4:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.94%chance

112492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1530

654

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

34%chance

161626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1394

718

Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?

May 24, 5:51 AMMay 24, 6:59 AM

46%chance

13699

OptionVotes

NO

YES

213

137

Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?

Mar 18, 4:25 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

25%chance

11166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

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