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Prediction markets for Fed Funds

Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 11:18 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

98.79%chance

2863602

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11829

384

Fed decision in March?

Dec 11, 9:00 AMMar 18, 11:59 PM

126884

OptionProbability

No change

25 bps decrease

50+ bps decrease

25+ bps increase

90

8

1

1

Fed decision in April?

Dec 11, 9:03 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

82887

OptionProbability

No change

25 bps decrease

50+ bps decrease

25+ bps increase

75

20

3

2

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

36%chance

141088

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

750

Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?

May 24, 5:51 AMMay 24, 6:59 AM

45%chance

13634

OptionVotes

NO

YES

210

141

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