Federal Appeals Court News

How many ICE agents will be convicted for crimes committed during the Trump administration?

Jan 22, 3:15 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

334293

OptionProbability

200-299

Other

100-199

50-99

25-49

0-2

3-9

10-24

Will a federal court filing by the US gov allege that Ilhan Omar's ex-husband is her biological sibling, by EOY 2027?

Oct 22, 8:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.46%chance

131236

OptionVotes

YES

1188

841

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Feb 17, 6:23 PMDec 31, 6:20 PM

11988

OptionProbability

Create new forms of gambling addiction and financial harm

Provide voting public with better information on candidates chances in elections

Lead to manipulation and misinformation through coordinated betting

Increase polarization by incentivizing extreme predictions

Provide public with better information about impact of policies and new legislation

Bring Jeffrey epstein back to life

Make me the President of USA

If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm at least 40 federal judges in the 120th Congress?

Oct 7, 2:54 AMJan 3, 5:00 PM

6.53%chance

10892

OptionVotes

YES

1224

983

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Dec 8, 4:01 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14560

OptionProbability

[Consumer Privacy] A.T. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Sancton v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Chabon v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Silverman v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Libel] Walters v. OpenAI, L.L.C. (Ga. Super. Ct. 2023)

[Copyright] P.M. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

Will Kalshi respond to New Jersey's Supreme Court petition by November 15, 2026?

Sep 2, 6:37 PMNov 16, 4:59 AM

7.67%chance

7402

OptionVotes

YES

282

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Sep 11, 9:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.56%chance

12373

OptionVotes

YES

1075

955

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant cert or agree to hear arguments in the Texas DACA case by February 27, 2027? (2/27/27)

Aug 31, 2:39 PMFeb 26, 11:59 PM

12.03%chance

3284

OptionVotes

YES

236

Letitia James convicted before 2029?

Oct 9, 10:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.09%chance

6275

OptionVotes

YES

362

Will DACA be struck down by the US judicial system?

Sep 14, 4:17 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

44.51%chance

13202

OptionVotes

YES

214

202

If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm at least 40 federal judges in the 120th Congress?

Oct 7, 2:54 AMJan 3, 5:00 PM

66.69%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

974

Is a Forced Reset Trigger (FRT) a machine gun?

Dec 21, 4:36 AMJan 2, 4:30 AM

41.43%chance

449

OptionVotes

YES

119

Federal Appeals Court News

Prediction markets for Federal Appeals Court

Prediction markets for Federal Appeals Court

Prediction markets for Federal Appeals Court

How many ICE agents will be convicted for crimes committed during the Trump administration?

Will a federal court filing by the US gov allege that Ilhan Omar's ex-husband is her biological sibling, by EOY 2027?

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm at least 40 federal judges in the 120th Congress?

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Will Kalshi respond to New Jersey's Supreme Court petition by November 15, 2026?

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant cert or agree to hear arguments in the Texas DACA case by February 27, 2027? (2/27/27)

Letitia James convicted before 2029?

Will DACA be struck down by the US judicial system?

If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm at least 40 federal judges in the 120th Congress?

Is a Forced Reset Trigger (FRT) a machine gun?

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