Federal Appeals Court News

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

Nov 18, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97%chance

245359

OptionVotes

YES

5686

176

How many ICE agents will be convicted for crimes committed during the Trump administration?

Jan 22, 3:15 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

334293

OptionProbability

200-299

Other

100-199

50-99

25-49

0-2

3-9

10-24

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Feb 17, 6:23 PMDec 31, 6:20 PM

11988

OptionProbability

Create new forms of gambling addiction and financial harm

Provide voting public with better information on candidates chances in elections

Lead to manipulation and misinformation through coordinated betting

Increase polarization by incentivizing extreme predictions

Provide public with better information about impact of policies and new legislation

Bring Jeffrey epstein back to life

Make me the President of USA

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Sep 11, 9:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.56%chance

12373

OptionVotes

YES

1075

955

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Dec 8, 4:01 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13348

OptionProbability

[Consumer Privacy] A.T. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Authors Guild v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Sancton v. OpenAI Inc. (S.D.N.Y. 2023)

[Copyright] Chabon v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Copyright] Silverman v. OpenAI, Inc. (N.D. Cal. 2023)

[Libel] Walters v. OpenAI, L.L.C. (Ga. Super. Ct. 2023)

[Copyright] P.M. v. OpenAI LP (N.D. Cal. 2023)

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant cert or agree to hear arguments in the Texas DACA case by February 27, 2027? (2/27/27)

Aug 31, 2:39 PMFeb 26, 11:59 PM

12.03%chance

3284

OptionVotes

YES

236

Letitia James convicted before 2029?

Oct 9, 10:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.09%chance

6275

OptionVotes

YES

362

Will DACA be struck down by the US judicial system?

Sep 14, 4:17 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

44.51%chance

13202

OptionVotes

YES

214

202

Will Kalshi respond to New Jersey's Supreme Court petition by November 15, 2026?

Sep 2, 6:37 PMNov 16, 4:59 AM

86.09%chance

3177

OptionVotes

YES

207

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

May 28, 1:27 PMMay 1, 1:22 PM

66.27%chance

8109

OptionVotes

YES

140

Is a Forced Reset Trigger (FRT) a machine gun?

Dec 21, 4:36 AMJan 2, 4:30 AM

41.43%chance

449

OptionVotes

YES

119

Circuit-level appeal of a dismissal of a microplastics case on the merits (preemption, causation, pleadings) byEOY2028?

Apr 24, 7:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.37%chance

216

OptionVotes

YES

116

Federal Appeals Court News

Prediction markets for Federal Appeals Court

Prediction markets for Federal Appeals Court

Prediction markets for Federal Appeals Court

Will Texas's 2025 redistricting map be used in the 2026 midterms?

How many ICE agents will be convicted for crimes committed during the Trump administration?

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Will an animal in the US be recognized as a person by US courts before 2030?

Which of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant cert or agree to hear arguments in the Texas DACA case by February 27, 2027? (2/27/27)

Letitia James convicted before 2029?

Will DACA be struck down by the US judicial system?

Will Kalshi respond to New Jersey's Supreme Court petition by November 15, 2026?

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

Is a Forced Reset Trigger (FRT) a machine gun?

Circuit-level appeal of a dismissal of a microplastics case on the merits (preemption, causation, pleadings) byEOY2028?

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