Federal Contracting News

Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?

Dec 24, 3:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.18%chance

52620

OptionVotes

YES

3449

306

Municipal bond interest tax break limited by EOY?

Mar 20, 2:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.44%chance

51877

OptionVotes

YES

2810

364

Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?

Feb 15, 11:44 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

3%chance

241568

OptionVotes

YES

569

Will the German Football Federation successfully transition to Nike by 2027?

Mar 21, 10:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

93.57%chance

101565

OptionVotes

YES

2490

787

Will something horrible happen to Kalshi deposits by 2030?

Mar 21, 2:55 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

81068

OptionProbability

Nothing horrible happens

Internal fraud/embezzlement

Bank or financial partner failure

Cybersecurity breach/hack

Regulatory crackdown with asset seizure

Other

Trump directs government against Musk before 2026 ends?

Jun 5, 7:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.15%chance

20568

OptionVotes

YES

246

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Will the US Government create a public-private partnership with OpenAI by 2028?

May 24, 4:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.37%chance

6202

OptionVotes

YES

175

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.99%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

153

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

May 28, 1:27 PMMay 1, 1:22 PM

66.27%chance

8109

OptionVotes

YES

140

Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2028

Oct 26, 10:10 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

74.77%chance

595

OptionVotes

YES

172

If Republicans still control all level of government will all prediction markets shut down before 2040?

Nov 1, 4:41 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

127

OptionProbability

No, prediction markets will remain active and operational through 2040.

Federal legislation will ban specific types of event contracts like elections and politics.

A Supreme Court ruling will permanently resolve the federal versus state jurisdiction conflict.

Prediction markets will transition entirely into state-regulated gambling entities.

Yes, all prediction markets will shut down completely before 2040.

Federal Contracting News

Prediction markets for Federal Contracting

Prediction markets for Federal Contracting

Prediction markets for Federal Contracting

Before 2028, will the US Federal Government have paid more than $5B to NVIDIA under the Defense Production Act?

Municipal bond interest tax break limited by EOY?

Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?

Will the German Football Federation successfully transition to Nike by 2027?

Will something horrible happen to Kalshi deposits by 2030?

Trump directs government against Musk before 2026 ends?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Will the US Government create a public-private partnership with OpenAI by 2028?

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2028

If Republicans still control all level of government will all prediction markets shut down before 2040?

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