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Prediction markets for Federal Court

Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?

Jan 22, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12%chance

2423827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12196

9630

Will any of the 19 defendants in Fulton County Trump case be removed to federal court?

Aug 26, 5:57 PMAug 27, 3:59 AM

1.58%chance

124379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4652

804

Supreme Court rules unanimously to uphold Federal Judge's block on Trump's use of Alien Enemies Act

Mar 18, 2:40 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

14.21%chance

321952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

41

Will any US federal court rule that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has broken federal law in 2025?

Feb 8, 1:01 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

91.33%chance

251532

OptionVotes

NO

YES

325

31

Will federal abortion rights be restored by the courts under the 13th amendment which confers a right against involuntary servitude?

Feb 7, 4:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.86%chance

281004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1348

933

Will the recent change to the law on federal election that just passed the Bundestag be overturned by the Federal Court?

Mar 18, 2:54 PMSep 30, 9:59 PM

15.93%chance

9359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

344

97

Will a special prosecutor be appointed by a federal court to prosecute a member of the Trump administration in 2025?

Apr 16, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.41%chance

10261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

34

Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day Tarrifs?

May 14, 2:40 AMMar 2, 3:34 AM

54.43%chance

9171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

95

Federal government in USA pass a law before the end of 2030 that forbids to use digital videos as evidence in court.

Feb 19, 12:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.8%chance

7131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

216

120

Will Pakistan implement the Federal Shariah Court's order to abolish the use of interest rates in the financial system within a period of five years?

Jan 27, 9:18 PMJan 27, 11:59 PM

41.75%chance

8100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

143

Supreme Court ruling on 3,50€ file copying fee - Will B. win the Federal Administrative Court case?

Dec 19, 10:14 PMJan 25, 10:59 PM

64.35%chance

365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

77

Federal court rules on War Powers Act constitutionality by July 2026?

Jun 24, 8:40 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

45%chance

327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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