OptionVotes
YES
NO
218
116
6226
197
108
92
OptionProbability
Create new forms of gambling addiction and financial harm
Provide voting public with better information on candidates chances in elections
Lead to manipulation and misinformation through coordinated betting
Increase polarization by incentivizing extreme predictions
Make me the President of USA
Provide public with better information about impact of policies and new legislation
Bring Jeffrey epstein back to life
88
60
50
33
22
21
Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB
Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)
Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment
Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01
Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01
66
52
51
45
38
37
34
