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Federal Funds Rate News

Fed performs emergency rate cut in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1.36%chance

48132685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85011

1176

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

Jan 22, 3:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

99.01%chance

38131073

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129586

2189

How many net rate cuts will the Fed (Federal Reserve) do in 2025?

Jan 6, 6:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6656925

OptionProbability

3 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)

2 cuts (Target 3.75-4.00)

0 cuts (Target 4.25-4.50 or higher)

1 cuts (Target 4.00-4.25)

4 cuts or more (Target 3.25-3.50 or lower)

93

7

0

0

0

How many times will the Fed cut rates in 2025?

Jan 2, 1:44 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5747693

OptionProbability

Three

Two

Zero

One

Four

Five

Six

Other

93

6

0

0

0

0

0

0

Fed Spectation → Fed Interest Rate decision in December?

Nov 13, 4:18 PMDec 12, 4:59 AM

228202

OptionProbability

Fed Will CUT Rates By 25BPs

Fed Will HOLD Rates

Fed Will CUT Rates By 50BPs

Fed Will HIKE Rates

94

5

1

0

Federal Reserve upper bound at least 5.00% on December 31?

Apr 23, 2:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.39%chance

104728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5339

187

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.47%chance

123728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13355

7895

Will the effective federal funds rate (interest rate) drop to below 1% again in the next 5 years?

Nov 18, 1:13 PMNov 25, 11:59 PM

30%chance

91399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

555

377

Will annual U.S. debt interest payments exceed 20% of federal budget revenue by 2028?

May 29, 1:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.55%chance

11951

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

895

What will the Fed rate be end of FY2026

Jul 22, 11:47 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

4170

OptionProbability

3 - 4.99%

1 - 2.99%

5 - 6.99%

Below 0%

0 - 0.99%

7 - 8.99%

9 - 10%

Above 10%

33

28

11

7

7

6

4

3

When will one of the top 5 U.S. universities (HYPSM) fall out of the top 10?

Aug 6, 7:32 AMSep 30, 7:26 AM

110

OptionProbability

After 2045

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

33

17

17

17

17

Will long call options for federal funds rate > 10% in 5 years be priced higher in EOY 2025 than 2024?

Feb 14, 7:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

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