Federal High Court News

How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?

Sep 12, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

123916

OptionProbability

1+ days

30+ days

365+ days

180+ days

730+ days

1825+ days

0 days

100

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

May 25, 8:51 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

10.94%chance

131653

OptionVotes

YES

1759

146

Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson

Feb 5, 5:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

99%chance

231592

OptionVotes

YES

753

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Feb 17, 6:23 PMDec 31, 6:20 PM

11988

OptionProbability

Create new forms of gambling addiction and financial harm

Provide voting public with better information on candidates chances in elections

Lead to manipulation and misinformation through coordinated betting

Increase polarization by incentivizing extreme predictions

Provide public with better information about impact of policies and new legislation

Bring Jeffrey epstein back to life

Make me the President of USA

Kurdistan will become a state in 2029

Jan 18, 3:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.18%chance

11941

OptionVotes

YES

220

Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?

Sep 21, 6:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.25%chance

5630

OptionVotes

YES

1630

769

Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027

Jul 4, 6:28 AMJan 11, 7:59 AM

54.41%chance

15571

OptionVotes

YES

109

Will there be large voting fraud accusations following 2026 midterms?

Sep 13, 3:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.33%chance

16453

OptionVotes

YES

251

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Aug 5, 6:26 AMDec 31, 6:30 AM

78.41%chance

2410

OptionVotes

YES

1363

876

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

May 28, 1:27 PMMay 1, 1:22 PM

66.27%chance

8109

OptionVotes

YES

140

Will the 2026 midterm election be stolen by Trump and GOP?

Sep 19, 3:13 AMNov 15, 11:00 AM

11.68%chance

574

OptionVotes

YES

103

100

How many count of indictment will Jared Leto face 2026?

Jul 29, 7:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

223

OptionProbability

4 - 6

7 - 9

10 - 12

13 - 15

1 - 3

Above 15

Federal High Court News

Prediction markets for Federal High Court

Prediction markets for Federal High Court

Prediction markets for Federal High Court

How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?

Will we learn that Anthropic lied to investors about operating profitable in Q2 2026 before 2028?

Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson

Prop bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)

Kurdistan will become a state in 2029

Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?

Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027

Will there be large voting fraud accusations following 2026 midterms?

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Will Michele Spagnuolo be convicted

Will the 2026 midterm election be stolen by Trump and GOP?

How many count of indictment will Jared Leto face 2026?

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