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Prediction markets for Federal Housing Administration

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

52.48%chance

8912775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

952

Will LGBTQ+ content online be legally censored in the US before 2026?

Jan 30, 3:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.73%chance

539905

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4490

223

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.07%chance

91052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

906

First event in new White House ballroom?

Oct 26, 4:40 PMFeb 1, 5:35 PM

5347

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2028

Before Jan 2029

Before July 2028

Before July 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before July 2026

76

72

69

50

34

1

USDA announces new community garden funding initiative by December 31, 2025

Nov 9, 6:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.78%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

Kratom federally banned in US by 2030?

Nov 20, 6:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.98%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

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