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Prediction markets for Federal Housing Administration

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

57.01%chance

9113224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1152

868

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.86%chance

113953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

434

First event in new White House ballroom?

Oct 26, 4:40 PMFeb 1, 5:35 PM

5347

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2028

Before Jan 2029

Before July 2028

Before July 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before July 2026

76

72

69

50

34

1

Will the DOJ open an 'election integrity' investigation for a midterm election before 2027?

Jan 9, 12:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87%chance

9120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

183

82

Will Palm Beach International Airport be renamed in honor of President Trump?

Feb 19, 10:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.23%chance

350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

Will Trump/Vance give Ken Paxton a position/title in the federal govt?

Mar 4, 8:03 PMJan 20, 12:00 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Kratom federally banned in US by 2030?

Nov 20, 6:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.98%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

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