Federal Judge News

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Withdraw the US from the Paris Climate Agreement

Bomb Iran

Pardon a person convicted of a violent crime against police (e.g. January 6 insurrectionists)

Enrich himself & his family financially

Shake hands with Putin

Reverse Biden's executive order on AI

Play golf

Shake hands with Xi Jinping

Visit a golf course more than 10% of the days he spends in office

Start a war

Deny Climate Change

Appoint a federal judge who is rated NQ (Not Qualified) by the American Bar Association

Increase US oil production

Promote the product of a supporter from the Oval Office

Have to have the VP (or someone else) be acting president for any amount of time

Post on Social Media that the DOJ should investigate somebody who is subsequently investigated by the DOJ

Call a national emergency for a non-foreign affairs issue

Appoint a Justice to the Supreme Court

Attend at least one current state leader funeral

Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack

Question the effectiveness or safety of vaccines in general

Sign bills with a Sharpie or similar

Fire someone he nominated to a government position via social media (“fired by tweet”)

Exercise

Detain large numbers of legal immigrants as part of a program ostensibly targeting illegal immigrants

Comment Publicly on the Investment Merits of DJT Stock

Pardon someone with the last name Trump (excluding himself)

Shake hands with Donald Tusk

Visit a golf course more than 20% of the days he spends in office

Get impeached

Authorize or explicitly endorse violence against peaceful protesters

Suppress, censor, or shut down any US news media outlet (including websites)

Suggest his face should be added to mount rushmore

Pardon himself

Withdraw support for Ukraine

Have a net approval below -20% at any point

Suggests in a speech or verified written format that Cuba join as a state

Eliminate Daylight Savings Time

Trumped-Up Charges: Trump appoints an Attorney General whose office goes on to seek a criminal indictment against ex-President Joseph Biden.

Be the subject of a successful invocation of the 25th amendment

Leave office early

Advocate or support a genocide (anywhere in the world)

Order the US military to attack US citizens on US soil

End SBA direct lending

Initiate tariffs that would apply to GPUs from Taiwan

Use the powers of his office to hurt Elon Musk's competitors

Reference "Situational Awareness"

Eat a hamnhrb

Pass away

Attempt to stay in power for a third term

Order the extrajudicial killing of a (named) US citizen on US soil

Pardon SBF

Make America Great Again

Order a nuclear strike

Talk with Kim Jong Un face to face

Register with the Federal Election Commission to run for president

Die

Declassify the existence of non human intelligence.

Instruct the military to fire on protesters with live bullets, leading to at least one death

Make an executive order with the stated intention of slowing down AI development

Ban TikTok

Withdraw the US from NATO

Signs a bill that admits a new state to the Union.

Order the extrajudicial killing of any federal or state elected official

Completely withdraw United States Forces Korea

Here's Johnny: Trump again appoints John Bolton to an official position in his administration.

Cry on camera

Be in some type of official captivity at any level before the end of the planned term in 2029

Have over +20 net approval according to 538, at any point

Direct the killing of a political opponent

Be removed via the 25th Amendment

Buy Greenland

Do another Home Alone cameo

Any American receives it by end 2025

Any American receives it by end 2026

Limit set at or below 99th percentile wealth or income

≥$200

A physical check (at least optionally)

Multiple disparate "tariff dividends" (different sources or destinations)

Limit set at or below 90th percentile wealth or income

Only given out to military

All for same amount

≥$2000

Blocked by a federal judge

Limit set at or below 70th percentile wealth or income

Significant number sent to non-citizens and/or non-existent people

$ value explicitly tied to performance of tariffs

Passed by Congress

~50% or more of Americans receive it by end 2026

Some checks bounce

YES

YES

Ken Paxton is the GOP nominee

The GOP nominee outruns Ted Cruz's 2018 margin

John Cornyn resigns from the Senate early

Ken Paxton resigns as Texas AG early

Ken Paxton is confirmed by the U.S. Senate to an executive branch position

Ken Paxton becomes a federal judge

Ken Paxton is confirmed by the U.S. Senate to head a major department (i.e. DOJ, FBI)

The GOP nominee outruns Donald Trump's 2020 margin

The SAVE Act is passed as part of a deal to get Paxton to withdraw

One of the two GOP runoff candidates drops out

YES

YES

NO

YES

YES

YES

YES