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Prediction markets for Federal Reserve fund

Fed performs emergency rate cut in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.54%chance

3845382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27689

3612

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

Jan 22, 3:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

88.28%chance

3136946

OptionVotes

NO

YES

25582

5728

How many times will the Fed cut rates in 2025?

Jan 2, 1:44 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

3624658

OptionProbability

Two

One

Three

Zero

Four

Five

Six

Other

58

28

8

4

1

1

1

0

How many net rate cuts will the Fed (Federal Reserve) do in 2025?

Jan 6, 6:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4318778

OptionProbability

2 cuts (Target 3.75-4.00)

1 cuts (Target 4.00-4.25)

3 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)

0 cuts (Target 4.25-4.50 or higher)

4 cuts or more (Target 3.25-3.50 or lower)

45

32

16

5

1

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision in September

Aug 1, 4:13 PMSep 17, 5:59 PM

184741

OptionProbability

25 bps decrease

No change

50+ bps decrease

Increase

72

23

4

1

Federal Reserve upper bound at least 5.00% on December 31?

Apr 23, 2:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.02%chance

93738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4349

230

Federal Reserve announces interest rate change on August 30, 2025

Jul 30, 11:53 AMAug 29, 11:52 AM

1.12%chance

101165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

939

11

Before 2026, will any government entity in the US announce they are investigating David Sacks?

Mar 3, 12:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.95%chance

7305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

319

31

What will the Fed rate be end of FY2026

Jul 22, 11:47 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

4170

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