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Prediction markets for Federal Reserve fund

Fed performs emergency rate cut in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1.36%chance

48132685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

85011

1176

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

Jan 22, 3:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

99.01%chance

38131073

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129586

2189

How many net rate cuts will the Fed (Federal Reserve) do in 2025?

Jan 6, 6:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6656925

OptionProbability

3 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)

2 cuts (Target 3.75-4.00)

0 cuts (Target 4.25-4.50 or higher)

1 cuts (Target 4.00-4.25)

4 cuts or more (Target 3.25-3.50 or lower)

93

7

0

0

0

How many times will the Fed cut rates in 2025?

Jan 2, 1:44 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5747693

OptionProbability

Three

Two

Zero

One

Four

Five

Six

Other

93

6

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

52.48%chance

8912775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

952

Fed Spectation → Fed Interest Rate decision in December?

Nov 13, 4:18 PMDec 12, 4:59 AM

228202

OptionProbability

Fed Will CUT Rates By 25BPs

Fed Will HOLD Rates

Fed Will CUT Rates By 50BPs

Fed Will HIKE Rates

94

5

1

0

Federal Reserve upper bound at least 5.00% on December 31?

Apr 23, 2:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.39%chance

104728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5339

187

Before 2026, will any government entity in the US announce they are investigating David Sacks?

Mar 3, 12:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.85%chance

7501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

303

33

What will the Fed rate be end of FY2026

Jul 22, 11:47 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

4170

OptionProbability

3 - 4.99%

1 - 2.99%

5 - 6.99%

Below 0%

0 - 0.99%

7 - 8.99%

9 - 10%

Above 10%

33

28

11

7

7

6

4

3

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