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Prediction markets for Federal Reserve fund

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.6%chance

9413352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

876

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

9.68%chance

183276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3056

327

Interest rates above 10% before 2030?

Jul 22, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.71%chance

102663

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1957

511

Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting?

Aug 4, 3:21 AMSep 23, 11:59 PM

1%chance

181264

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?

Mar 18, 4:25 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1%chance

151229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 18, 12:01 PMOct 28, 6:25 PM

1%chance

81045

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

14

What will be the Federal Target Rate range after the final FOMC meeting of 2026?

Apr 10, 1:52 PMDec 16, 11:59 PM

6975

OptionProbability

Above 4.00%

3.75% – 4.00%

3.50% – 3.75%

Below 2.75%

2.75% – 3.00%

3.00% – 3.25%

3.25% – 3.50%

73

21

3

1

1

1

1

🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026?

Sep 11, 7:40 PMOct 27, 5:00 PM

53.43%chance

16367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

Will the United States regulate cryptocurrency due to its use in upcoming war before the end of 2027

Mar 22, 8:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

5138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

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