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Prediction markets for Feds

How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Nov 1, 8:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2714604

OptionProbability

Other

0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)

1 cut (Target 3.25-3.50)

2 cuts (Target 3.00-3.25)

3 cuts (Target 2.75-3.00)

4 cuts (Target 2.50-2.75)

94

3

1

1

0

0

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

16.53%chance

5010354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1717

793

Will the Fed be abolished during Trump's term?

Nov 14, 9:57 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

3.83%chance

279104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5008

200

Fed decision in December?

Sep 4, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

124650

OptionProbability

Increase

No change

Decrease

67

29

4

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

51.11%chance

244038

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1288

554

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMNov 23, 1:18 AM

3.19%chance

163477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3466

802

2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)

May 25, 10:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.25%chance

212654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1721

581

Another Fed Rate Hike in 2026?

Sep 17, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.08%chance

15794

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1417

917

Kevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?

Jan 6, 12:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1%chance

16487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

331

1

Are the “Patriot Front” marchers >20% feds?

May 16, 9:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.79%chance

13449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

964

🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026?

Sep 11, 7:40 PMOct 27, 5:00 PM

61.77%chance

17387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

79

Will Fed raise interest rates in 2027?

Aug 3, 12:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.47%chance

6102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

71

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