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Prediction markets for Feds

Fed performs emergency rate cut in 2025?

Apr 7, 12:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1.37%chance

49134854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

84953

1177

Will the fed funds rate be below 4% at anytime by the end of 2026?

Oct 17, 11:18 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

97.1%chance

2856155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6200

490

Will the Fed be abolished during Trump's term?

Nov 14, 9:57 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

3.91%chance

259052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4956

202

Next Fed chair to have a degree in economics?

Apr 18, 12:20 AMApr 1, 10:59 PM

64.88%chance

163609

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1359

736

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

20%chance

192854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1487

826

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

24.03%chance

322227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1237

913

Will the next rate change by the Fed be an interest rate increase?

Jan 16, 10:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.21%chance

101030

OptionVotes

YES

NO

664

15

Are the “Patriot Front” marchers >20% feds?

May 16, 9:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.74%chance

13436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

977

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMDec 31, 1:18 AM

9.97%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

933

Will "In The End, Gold Destroy The Fed" after "We Are Going To Experience Two Resets"?

Aug 8, 6:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10%chance

6243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

116

Trump creates and appoints a shadow Fed chair?

Apr 22, 11:07 AMMay 30, 10:59 PM

22.08%chance

8224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

602

444

How many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?

Nov 18, 8:09 PMJan 24, 7:59 AM

9185

OptionProbability

Zero

Other

Twice

Once

41

38

12

9

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