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Prediction markets for Fellowship
Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?
Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52.62%chance
9702
OptionVotes
10538
9489
Will @sanjehorah win an emergent ventures fellowship by EOY2028?
Dec 25, 8:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
1102
OptionVotes
100
100
Will anyone from https://www.livetheresidency.com/ win the Thiel Fellowship in 2026?
Jun 21, 2:24 AMMay 1, 6:59 AM
64.03%chance
346
OptionVotes
133
75
Will any past/current student from the University of Washington Robinson Center (University of Washington early entrance program & UW Academy for Young Scholars) win a Thiel Fellowship OR an Emergent Ventures grant by the end of 2027?
Apr 20, 10:44 PMNov 1, 8:01 AM
32.43%chance
329
OptionVotes
130
95
Will Sid Mani (ftlsid.com) win an Emergent Ventures fellowship by EOY 2025?
Dec 25, 6:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
32.32%chance
325
OptionVotes
95
53
Will Jaival Patel win a Thiel Fellowship, Emergent Ventures, Brains Fellows, or Flux Capacitor funding by 2030?
Jun 10, 12:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
40.98%chance
220
OptionVotes
120
83
Will James Lin (@jlinbio) from Toronto win a Thiel Fellowship?
Jan 1, 5:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
44.8%chance
315
OptionVotes
94
86
Will someone from the hacker house calculus.house win a thiel fellowship by EOY2027?
Jun 11, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
44.8%chance
211
OptionVotes
111
90
Will Theodore Weld Smith of moda fund win a Thiel Fellowship
Apr 25, 4:59 AMJan 1, 4:01 PM
25.67%chance
26
OptionVotes
75
54
Will Willy Chertman win an Emergent Ventures fellowship before 2027?
Apr 20, 6:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
48.04%chance
12
OptionVotes
52
48
Will any of the 2016 Pareto Fellows end up with a MacArthur Fellowship by EOY 2040?
Aug 28, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
Will at least 50 percent of the inaugural thiel fellowship cohort get married by EOY 2027
Dec 17, 12:04 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
50
50