Ferris News

When will Starship first dock to a non-Starship spacecraft?

Mar 13, 8:47 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

218111

OptionProbability

Before 2028-01-01

Before 2027-10-01

Before 2027-07-01

Before 2027-04-01

Before 2027-01-01

Before 2026-10-01

Before 2026-04-01

Before 2026-07-01

Q2 2024 or earlier

Q3 2024 or earlier

Q4 2024 or earlier

Q1 2025 or earlier

Q2 2025 or earlier

Before 2025-10-01

Before 2026-01-01

Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.

Nov 7, 1:55 AMJan 20, 5:59 AM

81.09%chance

497126

OptionVotes

YES

2071

483

Will the Tanger Ville to Tarifa ferry on April 1 leave at 8am local time?

Feb 3, 9:42 PMApr 1, 8:00 AM

74.15%chance

4246

OptionVotes

YES

169

Which of these transportation achievements be achieved in the 2020s?

May 28, 4:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6210

OptionProbability

İDO will initiate Greek islands rides service to Rhodes from Marmaris.

İDO will initiate Greek islands rides service to Symi from Datça.

İstanbul-Muğla motorway chain will be completed (This project will include two rings, Denizli-Antalya and Antalya-Muğla motorways.).

Şehir Hatları ferries will be free to everyone who is a K-12 student.

A maglev railway to India from Türkiye will be operational.

Intercontinental underwater tunnel that connects Europe to North America will be completed.

[M$100 subsidy] Will the Staten Island Railway be connected to the rest of New York City's subway system before 2046?

Sep 28, 1:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

23.92%chance

5185

OptionVotes

YES

352

153

Ferry from Miami to Cuba available taking less than 12 hours for the trip in the 2020s?

Jan 1, 4:22 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.12%chance

2174

OptionVotes

YES

1148

871

Will David Deutsch write a Textbook on Quantum Physics before he dies?

Aug 28, 9:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.95%chance

6143

OptionVotes

YES

205

Labour rules out Te Pati Maori for 2026 nz election?

Dec 23, 6:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.76%chance

268

OptionVotes

YES

154

What details will be true about Tim Ferriss' next book?

Dec 31, 2:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

250

OptionProbability

Formal release date in 2025

The word "tactic" or "tactics" will be part of the title or subtitle

Number “4” in title or subtitle

Will the Bay Area transit funding initiative pass in November

Feb 4, 11:02 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

64.32%chance

445

OptionVotes

YES

134

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When will Starship first dock to a non-Starship spacecraft?

Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.

Will the Tanger Ville to Tarifa ferry on April 1 leave at 8am local time?

Which of these transportation achievements be achieved in the 2020s?

[M$100 subsidy] Will the Staten Island Railway be connected to the rest of New York City's subway system before 2046?

Ferry from Miami to Cuba available taking less than 12 hours for the trip in the 2020s?

Will David Deutsch write a Textbook on Quantum Physics before he dies?

Labour rules out Te Pati Maori for 2026 nz election?

What details will be true about Tim Ferriss' next book?

Will the Bay Area transit funding initiative pass in November

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