Fertilizers News
Prediction markets for Fertilizers
Will US fertility rise above 1.7 at any time during Trump’s second term?
Dec 25, 5:02 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
14.8%chance
212166
OptionVotes
2400
417
Will the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?
May 20, 6:21 PMMay 22, 3:59 AM
10.57%chance
91929
OptionVotes
2908
344
Will in vitro fertilization become illegal or totally inaccessible in any state before 2030?
Feb 27, 5:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.79%chance
511823
OptionVotes
1204
848
Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?
Jul 14, 1:28 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM
60%chance
171300
OptionVotes
1373
627
Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)
Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM
61.29%chance
201226
OptionVotes
1313
717
In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?
Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
15%chance
421203
OptionVotes
1266
930
US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
Aug 27, 3:32 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM
45.22%chance
181060
OptionVotes
1101
909
Will the South Korean total fertility rate exceed 2.0 at any point before 2051?
Dec 2, 2:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
13.89%chance
21947
OptionVotes
985
936
[Metaculus] Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that India's average fertility rate for 2032 & 2033 will be < 2.0?
Mar 29, 2:56 PMJan 3, 6:00 PM
93.06%chance
11758
OptionVotes
1568
886
Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2027?
Jul 14, 1:24 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM
26.71%chance
16720
OptionVotes
1058
765
Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
Oct 19, 6:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
38.19%chance
14549
OptionVotes
1079
943
Elon releases a version of Twitter which filters by achieved fertility somehow
Jan 2, 9:15 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
5.07%chance
14537
OptionVotes
1414
942