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Prediction markets for Fertilizers

Will the fertility rate of South Korea increase from 2023 to 2025?

Dec 3, 4:49 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

94.47%chance

32588639

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4132

242

Will the WHO state that there is conclusive evidence that microplastics exposure reduces human fertility by 2026?

May 21, 8:28 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

1.02%chance

139376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9851

102

Will the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?

May 20, 6:21 PMMay 22, 3:59 AM

10.57%chance

91929

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2908

344

Will in vitro fertilization become illegal or totally inaccessible in any state before 2030?

Feb 27, 5:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

511823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1204

848

Will US fertility rise above 1.7 at any time during Trump’s second term?

Dec 25, 5:02 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

14.66%chance

191740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2412

415

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.66%chance

411103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

939

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?

Jul 14, 1:28 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

50.39%chance

17967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

785

Will the South Korean total fertility rate exceed 2.0 at any point before 2051?

Dec 2, 2:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.68%chance

19896

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

885

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

45%chance

20876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

967

US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?

Aug 27, 3:32 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

38.55%chance

16798

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1262

792

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2027?

Jul 14, 1:24 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

26.71%chance

16720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

765

Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?

Oct 19, 6:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.31%chance

14498

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1131

912

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