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Fertilizers News

Will US fertility rise above 1.7 at any time during Trump’s second term?

Dec 25, 5:02 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

14.8%chance

212166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2400

417

Will the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?

May 20, 6:21 PMMay 22, 3:59 AM

10.57%chance

91929

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2908

344

Will in vitro fertilization become illegal or totally inaccessible in any state before 2030?

Feb 27, 5:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

511823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1204

848

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15%chance

421303

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

930

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?

Jul 14, 1:28 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

60%chance

171300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1373

627

US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?

Aug 27, 3:32 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

49.19%chance

181282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1016

984

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

61.29%chance

201226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1313

717

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2027?

Jul 14, 1:24 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

17.27%chance

181117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1190

942

Will the South Korean total fertility rate exceed 2.0 at any point before 2051?

Dec 2, 2:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.89%chance

21947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

985

936

[Metaculus] Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that India's average fertility rate for 2032 & 2033 will be < 2.0?

Mar 29, 2:56 PMJan 3, 6:00 PM

93.06%chance

11758

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1568

886

Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?

Oct 19, 6:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.19%chance

14549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

943

Elon releases a version of Twitter which filters by achieved fertility somehow

Jan 2, 9:15 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

5.07%chance

14537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1414

942

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