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Prediction markets for FET

Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?

May 16, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.23%chance

4910650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

820

Is John Fetterman more than one person?

Oct 7, 1:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1.02%chance

155836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4270

901

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic primary for PA Senate Seat?

Mar 20, 6:48 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

2.47%chance

195236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3108

906

Will Fetterman Stay a Democrat or become a Republican after the midterms?

Sep 28, 12:32 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

94915

OptionProbability

Stay a Democrat after the election

Become a Republican after the election (No control difference)

Become a Republican and give the Republicans control (50:50 Senate)

93

7

1

Before 2027, will an AI product from an American frontier lab readily identify Fetal Alcohol Syndrome in faces?

Sep 15, 11:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.4%chance

51190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2106

475

Will John Fetterman stop being senator before the 2028 election?

Feb 17, 1:21 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

21%chance

16814

OptionVotes

YES

NO

342

100

Will human fetuses created without egg or sperm (eg stem cells) be used to birth human babies by Dec 1, 2027

Sep 7, 4:06 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

6.76%chance

16707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1487

928

What will John Fetterman’s official party affiliation and caucus situation be on 1 July 2027?

Oct 23, 8:37 AMJul 1, 12:59 AM

5427

OptionProbability

Democrat

Independent/Third Party, Caucuses with Democrats

Independent/Third Party, Caucuses with Republicans

Republican

Not a Member of the Senate

71

17

7

4

1

Will John Fetterman resign from the United States Senate?

Sep 5, 12:07 AMJan 3, 12:00 PM

29.28%chance

8231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

64

Will Jared Fogel get out of prison before Fetty Wap?

Jan 26, 6:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.72%chance

897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

184

158

Will John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?

Sep 9, 1:27 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

79.28%chance

321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

94

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Pennsylvania Senate Election?

Sep 6, 10:44 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

8%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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