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Prediction markets for Fetch

Will Damien Hirst's "The Currency" be more valuable as an NFT than as a physical painting?

Oct 12, 6:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.66%chance

18866

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

957

Will OpenAI publicly release a GPT-5.6 model by August 31, 2026?

Jun 15, 7:16 PMSep 1, 12:00 AM

92.52%chance

11350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

216

85

Will Anthropic publicly release Claude Opus 4.9 by August 31, 2026?

Jun 21, 3:22 AMSep 1, 12:00 AM

24.18%chance

17235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

168

65

Will June 2026 U.S. average hourly earnings rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 7, 7:16 PMJul 2, 12:25 PM

60.73%chance

6137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

90

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 18, 12:01 PMOct 28, 6:25 PM

22.13%chance

479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

62

Will the July 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jun 15, 8:53 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

26%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

86

Will July 2026 U.S. average hourly earnings rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 15, 9:16 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

48.47%chance

333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

87

Will the June 2026 U.S. labor force participation rate be at least 62.0%?

Jun 7, 6:14 PMJul 2, 12:25 PM

33.24%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

96

Will the July 2026 U.S. labor force participation rate be at least 62.0%?

Jun 15, 10:16 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

29.03%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

96

Will December 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 18, 6:10 PMDec 10, 12:25 PM

49.72%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

89

Will July 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 15, 12:04 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

45%chance

16

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

94

Will August 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 17, 12:16 PMSep 4, 12:25 PM

50.04%chance

14

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

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