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Prediction markets for Fiat
Prediction markets for Fiat
What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)
May 9, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
36.1%
chance
22
18272
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1041
910
World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
May 22, 2:13 AM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
63.97%
chance
31
14632
Option
Votes
NO
YES
13264
8390
Will Bitcoin or another cryptocurrency replace the US Dollar by 2030?
Sep 1, 12:39 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3.5%
chance
10
1601
Option
Votes
YES
NO
592
115
Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026?
Apr 26, 8:47 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
19%
chance
25
1351
Option
Votes
YES
NO
207
49
Will cryptocurrency replace a major Fiat currency as a primary means of transaction in any country by 2027?
Jan 11, 11:56 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
29.35%
chance
20
637
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1020
912
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?
Mar 18, 3:47 PM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
23%
chance
10
430
Option
Votes
YES
NO
183
55
Will the comprehensive rulebook of Magic: The Gathering contain no errors at any point before 2030?
Jan 30, 5:06 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
5.07%
chance
7
333
Option
Votes
YES
NO
396
33
Coinbase Outage/Freeze by 2030?
Nov 12, 12:01 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
20.02%
chance
7
182
Option
Votes
YES
NO
234
115
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